A stage structured model of delay differential equations for Aedes mosquito population suppression.

Autor: Huang, Mugen, Tang, Moxun, Yu, Jianshe, Zheng, Bo
Předmět:
Zdroj: Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems: Series A; Jun2020, Vol. 40 Issue 6, p3467-3484, 18p
Abstrakt: Tremendous efforts have been devoted to the development and analysis of mathematical models to assess the efficacy of the endosymbiotic bacterium Wolbachia in the control of infectious diseases such as dengue and Zika, and their transmission vector Aedes mosquitoes. However, the larval stage has not been included in most models, which causes an inconvenience in testing directly the density restriction on population growth. In this work, we introduce a system of delay differential equations, including both the adult and larval stages of wild mosquitoes, interfered by Wolbachia infected males that can cause complete female sterility. We clarify its global dynamics rather completely by using delicate analyses, including a construction of Liapunov-type functions, and determine the threshold level R0R0 of infected male releasing. The wild population is suppressed completely if the releasing level exceeds R0R0 uniformly. The dynamical complexity revealed by our analysis, such as bi-stability and semi-stability, is further exhibited through numerical examples. Our model generates a temporal profile that captures several critical features of Aedes albopictus population in Guangzhou from 2011 to 2016. Our estimate for optimal mosquito control suggests that the most cost-efficient releasing should be started no less than 7 weeks before the peak dengue season. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze: Complementary Index