Methods for calculating credible intervals for ratios of beta distributions with application to relative risks of death during the second plague pandemic.

Autor:	Bekker-Nielsen Dunbar, Maria, Finnie, Thomas J. R., Sloane, Barney, Hall, Ian M.
Předmět:	BLACK Death pandemic 1348-1351 BETA distribution HEALTH risk assessment CONTINGENCY tables BAYESIAN analysis
Zdroj:	PLoS ONE; 2/25/2019, Vol. 14 Issue 2, p1-12, 12p
Abstrakt:	Employing historical records we are able to estimate the risk of premature death during the second plague pandemic, and identify the Black Death and pestis secunda epidemics. We show a novel method of calculating Bayesian credible intervals for a ratio of beta distributed random variables and use this to quantify uncertainty of relative risk estimates for these two epidemics which we consider in a 2 × 2 contingency table framework. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze:	Complementary Index
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