Abstrakt: |
In this work, through stochastic optimal control in continuous time the optimal decision making in consumption and investment is modeled by a rational economic agent, representative of an economy, who is a consumer and an investor adverse to risk; this in a finite time horizon of stochastic length. The assumptions of the model are: a consumption function of HARA type, a representative company that has a stochastic production process, the agent invests in a stock and an American-style Asian put option with floating strike equal to the geometric average subscribed on the stock, both modeled by controlled Markovian processes; as well as the investment of a principal in a bank account. The model is solved with dynamic programming in continuous time, particularly the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman PDE is obtained, and a function in separable variables is proposed as a solution to set the optimal trajectories of consumption and investment. In the solution analysis is determined: in equilibrium, the process of short interest rate that is driven by a square root process with reversion to the mean; and through a system of differential equations of risk premiums, a PDE is deduced equivalent to the Black-Scholes-Merton but to value an American-style Asian put option. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |