Methods for Computing Numerical Standard Errors: Review and Application to Value-at-Risk Estimation.

Autor: Ardia, David, Bluteau, Keven, Hoogerheide, Lennart F.
Zdroj: Journal of Time Series Econometrics; Jul2018, Vol. 10 Issue 2, p1-9, 9p
Abstrakt: Numerical standard error (NSE) is an estimate of the standard deviation of a simulation result if the simulation experiment were to be repeated many times. We review standard methods for computing NSE and perform a Monte Carlo experiments to compare their performance in the case of high/extreme autocorrelation. In particular, we propose an application to risk management where we assess the precision of the value-at-risk measure when the underlying risk model is estimated by simulation-based methods. Overall, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation estimators with prewhitening perform best in the presence of large/extreme autocorrelation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze: Complementary Index