Improving the positive predictive value of exercise testing in women.

Autor: Wong Y K, Dawkins S, Grimes R, Smith F, Dawkins K D, Simpson I A
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Zdroj: Heart; Dec2003, Vol. 89 Issue 12, p1416-21, 6p, 5 Charts
Abstrakt: OBJECTIVE: To identify exercise test variables that can improve the positive predictive value of exercise testing in women. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: Regional cardiothoracic centre. SUBJECTS: 1286 women and 1801 men referred by primary care physicians to a rapid access chest pain clinic, of whom 160 women and 406 men had ST depression of at least 1 mm during exercise testing. The results for 136 women and 124 men with positive exercise tests were analysed. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The proportion of women with a positive exercise test who could be identified as being at low risk for prognostic coronary heart disease and the resulting improvement in the positive predictive value. RESULTS: Independently of age, an exercise time of more than six minutes, a maximum heart rate of more than 150 beats/min, and an ST recovery time of less than one minute were the variables that best identified women at low risk. One to three of these variables identified between 11.8% and 41.2% of women as being at low risk, with a risk for prognostic disease of between 0-11.5%. The positive predictive value for the remaining women was improved from 47.8% up to 61.5%, and the number of normal angiograms was potentially reducible by between 21.1-54.9%. By the same criteria, men had higher risks for prognostic disease. CONCLUSIONS: A strategy of discriminating true from false positive exercise tests is worthwhile in women but less successful in men. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze: Complementary Index