Predicting pilot-error incidents of US airline pilots using logistic regression.

Autor: McFadden KL; Northern Illinois University, Operations Management and Information Systems, DeKalb 60115-2854, USA.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Applied ergonomics [Appl Ergon] 1997 Jun; Vol. 28 (3), pp. 209-12.
DOI: 10.1016/s0003-6870(96)00062-2
Abstrakt: In a population of 70,164 airline pilots obtained from the Federal Aviation Administration, 475 males and 22 females had pilot-error incidents in the years 1986-1992. A simple chi-squared test revealed that female pilots employed by major airlines had a significantly greater likelihood of pilot-error incidents than their male colleagues. In order to control for age, experience (total flying hours), risk exposure (recent flying hours) and employer (major/non-major airline) simultaneously, the author built a model of male pilot-error incidents using logistic regression. The regression analysis indicated that youth, inexperience and non-major airline employer were independent contributors to the increased risk of pilot-error incidents. The results also provide further support to the literature that pilot performance does not differ significantly between male and female airline pilots.
Databáze: MEDLINE