Climate-driven global redistribution of an ocean giant predicts increased threat from shipping.

Autor: Womersley FC; Marine Biological Association, The Laboratory, Plymouth, UK.; Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre Southampton, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK., Sousa LL; Wildlife Conservation Research Unit, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Tubney, UK., Humphries NE; Marine Biological Association, The Laboratory, Plymouth, UK., Abrantes K; College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Cairns, Queensland Australia.; Biopixel Oceans Foundation, Cairns, Queensland Australia.; Marine Data Technology Hub, James Cook University, Cairns, Queensland Australia., Araujo G; Marine Research and Conservation Foundation, Lydeard St Lawrence, UK.; Environmental Science Program, Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar., Bach SS; Qatar Whale Shark Research Project, Doha, Qatar., Barnett A; College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Cairns, Queensland Australia.; Biopixel Oceans Foundation, Cairns, Queensland Australia.; Marine Data Technology Hub, James Cook University, Cairns, Queensland Australia., Berumen ML; Red Sea Research Center, Division of Biological and Environmental Science and Engineering, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia., Lion SB; Fundación Malpelo y Otros Ecosistemas Marinos, Bogotá, Colombia.; MigraMar, Bodega Bay, CA USA., Braun CD; Biology Department, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA USA., Clingham E; St Helena Government, Jamestown, St Helena Island., Cochran JEM; Red Sea Research Center, Division of Biological and Environmental Science and Engineering, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia., de la Parra R; Ch'ooj Ajuail AC, Cancún, Mexico., Diamant S; Madagascar Whale Shark Project, Nosy Be, Madagascar., Dove ADM; Georgia Aquarium, Atlanta, GA USA., Duarte CM; Marine Science Program, Division of Biological and Environmental Science and Engineering, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia., Dudgeon CL; Biopixel Oceans Foundation, Cairns, Queensland Australia.; School of Biomedical Sciences, The University of Queensland, St. Lucia, Queensland Australia., Erdmann MV; Conservation International New Zealand, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand., Espinoza E; MigraMar, Bodega Bay, CA USA.; Dirección Parque Nacional Galapagos, Puerto Ayora, Ecuador., Ferreira LC; Australian Institute of Marine Science, Indian Ocean Marine Research Centre, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Western Australia Australia., Fitzpatrick R; College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Cairns, Queensland Australia.; Biopixel Oceans Foundation, Cairns, Queensland Australia., Cano JG; Comisión Nacional de Áreas Naturales Protegidas, Cancún, México., Green JR; Galapagos Whale Shark Project, Puerto Ayora, Ecuador., Guzman HM; MigraMar, Bodega Bay, CA USA.; Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Panama, Republic of Panama., Hardenstine R; Red Sea Research Center, Division of Biological and Environmental Science and Engineering, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia., Hasan A; Konservasi Indonesia Raja Ampat, Sorong, Indonesia., Hazin FHV; Departamento de Pesca e Aquicultura, UFRPE, Recife/PE, Brazil., Hearn AR; MigraMar, Bodega Bay, CA USA.; Galapagos Whale Shark Project, Puerto Ayora, Ecuador.; Galapagos Science Center, Universidad San Francisco de Quito USFQ, Quito, Ecuador., Hueter RE; Mote Marine Laboratory, Sarasota, FL USA.; OCEARCH, Park City, UT USA., Jaidah MY; Qatar Whale Shark Research Project, Doha, Qatar., Labaja J; Large Marine Vertebrates Research Institute Philippines, Jagna, Philippines., Ladino F; Fundación Malpelo y Otros Ecosistemas Marinos, Bogotá, Colombia., Macena BCL; Institute of Marine Sciences - OKEANOS, University of the Azores, Horta, Portugal.; Institute of Marine Research - IMAR, Department of Oceanography and Fisheries, University of the Azores, Horta, Portugal., Meekan MG; Australian Institute of Marine Science, Indian Ocean Marine Research Centre, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Western Australia Australia., Morris JJ Jr; Mote Marine Laboratory, Sarasota, FL USA., Norman BM; Harry Butler Institute, Murdoch University, Murdoch, Western Australia Australia.; ECOCEAN Inc., Serpentine, Fremantle, Western Australia Australia., Peñaherrera-Palma CR; MigraMar, Bodega Bay, CA USA., Pierce SJ; Marine Megafauna Foundation, West Palm Beach, FL USA.; University of the Sunshine Coast, Sippy Downs, Queensland Australia., Quintero LM; Fundación Malpelo y Otros Ecosistemas Marinos, Bogotá, Colombia., Ramírez-Macías D; Solmar L5, El Centenario, La Paz, Mexico., Reynolds SD; ECOCEAN Inc., Serpentine, Fremantle, Western Australia Australia.; School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, Queensland Australia., Robinson DP; Qatar Whale Shark Research Project, Doha, Qatar.; Marine Megafauna Foundation, West Palm Beach, FL USA.; Sundive Research, Byron Bay, New South Wales Australia., Rohner CA; Marine Megafauna Foundation, West Palm Beach, FL USA., Rowat DRL; Marine Conservation Society Seychelles, Transvaal House, Beau Vallon, Seychelles., Sequeira AMM; Division of Ecology and Evolution, Research School of Biology, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory Australia.; UWA Oceans Institute and the School of Biological Sciences, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia Australia., Sheaves M; College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Cairns, Queensland Australia.; Marine Data Technology Hub, James Cook University, Cairns, Queensland Australia., Shivji MS; Department of Biological Sciences, The Guy Harvey Research Institute, Nova Southeastern University, Dania Beach, FL USA., Sianipar AB; Elasmobranch Institute Indonesia, Denpasar, Indonesia., Skomal GB; Massachusetts Division of Marine Fisheries, New Bedford, MA USA., Soler G; Fundación Malpelo y Otros Ecosistemas Marinos, Bogotá, Colombia., Syakurachman I; Konservasi Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia., Thorrold SR; Biology Department, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA USA., Thums M; Australian Institute of Marine Science, Indian Ocean Marine Research Centre, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Western Australia Australia., Tyminski JP; Mote Marine Laboratory, Sarasota, FL USA.; OCEARCH, Park City, UT USA., Webb DH; Georgia Aquarium, Atlanta, GA USA., Wetherbee BM; Department of Biological Sciences, The Guy Harvey Research Institute, Nova Southeastern University, Dania Beach, FL USA.; Department of Biological Science, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, RI USA., Queiroz N; CIBIO, Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos, InBIO Laboratório Associado, Campus de Vairão, Universidade do Porto, Vairão, Portugal.; BIOPOLIS Program in Genomics, Biodiversity and Land Planning, CIBIO, Campus de Vairão, Vairão, Portugal., Sims DW; Marine Biological Association, The Laboratory, Plymouth, UK.; Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre Southampton, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Nature climate change [Nat Clim Chang] 2024; Vol. 14 (12), pp. 1282-1291. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Oct 07.
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02129-5
Abstrakt: Climate change is shifting animal distributions. However, the extent to which future global habitats of threatened marine megafauna will overlap existing human threats remains unresolved. Here we use global climate models and habitat suitability estimated from long-term satellite-tracking data of the world's largest fish, the whale shark, to show that redistributions of present-day habitats are projected to increase the species' co-occurrence with global shipping. Our model projects core habitat area losses of >50% within some national waters by 2100, with geographic shifts of over 1,000 km (∼12 km yr -1 ). Greater habitat suitability is predicted in current range-edge areas, increasing the co-occurrence of sharks with large ships. This future increase was ∼15,000 times greater under high emissions compared with a sustainable development scenario. Results demonstrate that climate-induced global species redistributions that increase exposure to direct sources of mortality are possible, emphasizing the need for quantitative climate-threat predictions in conservation assessments of endangered marine megafauna.
Competing Interests: Competing interestsThe authors declare no competing interests.
(© The Author(s) 2024.)
Databáze: MEDLINE
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