Regionalization of the Mortality Risk from Cardiomyopathy and Respiratory Diseases Based on the Maximum Entropy Model.

Autor: Ordoñez-Sierra R; Instituto Interamericano de Tecnología y Ciencias Del Agua Universidad Autónoma Del Estado de México, Carretera Toluca-Atlacomulco, Km 14.5, Toluca, Estado de México, Mexico.; Facultad de Geografía Universidad Autónoma Del Estado de México Cerro de Coatepec Sin Número Ciudad Universitaria, Toluca 50110, Estado de México, Mexico., Domínguez-Cortinas G; Universidad Autónoma de San Luis Potosí, Venustiano Carranza, San Luis Potosí 78210, Mexico., Hernández-Paniagua IY; Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático Circuito de la Investigación Científica S/N Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, C.U., Coyoacán, Ciudad de México 04510, Mexico., Expósito-Castillo JL; Instituto Interamericano de Tecnología y Ciencias Del Agua Universidad Autónoma Del Estado de México, Carretera Toluca-Atlacomulco, Km 14.5, Toluca, Estado de México, Mexico., Gómez-Albores MA; Instituto Interamericano de Tecnología y Ciencias Del Agua Universidad Autónoma Del Estado de México, Carretera Toluca-Atlacomulco, Km 14.5, Toluca, Estado de México, Mexico., Rodríguez-Reyes MG; Facultad de Geografía Universidad Autónoma Del Estado de México Cerro de Coatepec Sin Número Ciudad Universitaria, Toluca 50110, Estado de México, Mexico., Carrasco-Gallegos BV; Facultad de Geografía Universidad Autónoma Del Estado de México Cerro de Coatepec Sin Número Ciudad Universitaria, Toluca 50110, Estado de México, Mexico., Manzano-Solís LR; Facultad de Geografía Universidad Autónoma Del Estado de México Cerro de Coatepec Sin Número Ciudad Universitaria, Toluca 50110, Estado de México, Mexico.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Global health, epidemiology and genomics [Glob Health Epidemiol Genom] 2024 Aug 20; Vol. 2024, pp. 6103589. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Aug 20 (Print Publication: 2024).
DOI: 10.1155/2024/6103589
Abstrakt: This research presents a time-series study in one of the most polluted regions in Mexico, the southern part of the Mezquital Valley. Three mortality causes related to areas highly contaminated by industrial activities were considered to carry out this model, namely, ischemic cardiomyopathy, mesothelioma, and pneumoconiosis. The pollutant exposure factors used in the maximum entropy modeling were distance to rivers, distance to industries, particulate matter less than 2.5 microns (PM < 2.5  µ m), and the digital elevation model (DEM). A model that expresses the presence of the disease by areas of exposure to pollutants was also obtained. In addition, the odds ratio was calculated to evaluate the level of association of ischemic cardiomyopathy (OR = 3.37 and 95% CI: 3.05-3.6) and mesothelioma (OR = 4.79 and 95% CI: 3.5-6.08) by areas of exposure. In the case of pneumoconiosis, only cases in the very high exposure category were recorded, so it was not comparable with the remaining areas. It is important to mention that particulate matter in the municipalities of the Mezquital Valley presented values above 20  μ g/m 3 and that in accordance with the provisions of the Norma Oficial Mexicana de Salud Ambiental or NOM (translated as Mexican Official Standard for Environmental Health) and the Agency for Toxic Substances and the Disease Registry (ATSDR), high concentrations of particulate matter can have a severe impact on the development of some diseases. In the studied area, ischemic cardiomyopathy and mesothelioma were attributed to pollution in 70.3% and 79.1%, respectively; therefore, pollution mitigation could prevent the occurrence of these two diseases.
Competing Interests: The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
(Copyright © 2024 Raymundo Ordoñez-Sierra et al.)
Databáze: MEDLINE
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