Climate change impacts on Aotearoa New Zealand: a horizon scan approach.

Autor:	Macinnis-Ng C; Te Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.; School of Biological Sciences, Waipapa Taumata Rau - University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand., Ziedins I; Te Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.; Department of Statistics, Waipapa Taumata Rau - University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand., Ajmal H; Te Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.; Livestock Improvement Corporation, Hamilton, New Zealand., Baisden WT; Te Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.; Motu Economic and Public Policy Research, Wellington, New Zealand.; School of Environment, Waipapa Taumata Rau - The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand., Hendy S; Te Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.; Toha Foundry Ltd, Nelson, New Zealand.; Centre for Science in Society, Te Herenga Waka - Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand., McDonald A; Te Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.; School of Physical and Chemical Sciences, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand., Priestley R; Te Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.; Centre for Science in Society, Te Herenga Waka - Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand., Salmon RA; Te Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.; Centre for Science in Society, Te Herenga Waka - Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand., Sharp EL; Te Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.; School of Environment, Waipapa Taumata Rau - The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand., Tonkin JD; Te Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.; School of Biological Sciences, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand., Velarde S; Te Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.; WSP New Zealand Ltd., Rotorua, New Zealand., Watene Ngāti Manu Te Hikutu Ngāti Whātua Ōrākei Tonga K; Te Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.; School of Humanities, Waipapa Taumata Rau - University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand., Godsoe W; Te Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.; Department of Pest Management and Conservation, Lincoln University, Lincoln, New Zealand.
Jazyk:	angličtina
Zdroj:	Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand [J R Soc N Z] 2023 Oct 19; Vol. 54 (4), pp. 523-546. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Oct 19 (Print Publication: 2024).
DOI:	10.1080/03036758.2023.2267016
Abstrakt:	Many of the implications of climate change for Aotearoa (New Zealand) remain unclear. To identify so-far unseen or understudied threats and opportunities related to climate change we applied a horizon-scanning process. First, we collated 171 threats and opportunities across our diverse fields of research. We then scored each item for novelty and potential impact and finally reduced the list to ten threats and ten opportunities through a prioritisation process. Within the 20 items presented in this paper, we uncover a range of climate-related costs and benefits. Unexpected opportunities evolve from economic reorganisation and changes to perspectives. The threats we highlight include the overall failure to interconnect siloed policy responses, as well as those relating to extreme events and feedbacks, as well as pressures that undermine the coherence of society. A major theme of our work is that climate change effects in Aotearoa are likely to transgress the boundaries of research disciplines, industry sectors and policy systems, emphasising the importance of developing transdisciplinary methods and approaches. We use this insight to connect potential responses to climate change with Aotearoa's culture and geography. Competing Interests: Shaun Hendy declares that he is a co-founder and employee of Toha, a New Zealand-based company that builds digital marketplaces for environmental action. Sandra J. Velarde was a staff at the New Zealand Climate Change Commission during most of the writing period. She is currently staff at WSP, an international consultancy company. Her Primary Industries team advises government and private sector on rural infrastructure, water resources, sustainable land and climate change adaptation and mitigation. All other authors do not have any conflicts of interest to declare. (© 2023 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.)
Databáze:	MEDLINE
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