An Ensemble Deep Learning Algorithm for Structural Heart Disease Screening Using Electrocardiographic Images: PRESENT SHD.
Autor: | Dhingra LS; Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA., Aminorroaya A; Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA., Sangha V; Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA.; Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK., Pedroso AF; Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA., Shankar SV; Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA., Coppi A; Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Yale-New Haven Hospital, New Haven, CT, USA., Foppa M; School of Medicine, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Brazil., Brant LC; Department of Internal Medicine, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.; Telehealth Center and Cardiology Service, Hospital das Clínicas, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil., Barreto SM; Department of Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil., Ribeiro ALP; Department of Internal Medicine, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.; Telehealth Center and Cardiology Service, Hospital das Clínicas, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil., Krumholz HM; Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA.; Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation (CORE), Yale New Haven Hospital, New Haven, CT, USA.; Department of Health Policy and Management, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA., Oikonomou EK; Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA., Khera R; Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA.; Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation (CORE), Yale New Haven Hospital, New Haven, CT, USA.; Section of Biomedical Informatics and Data Science, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA.; Section of Health Informatics, Department of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA. |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Zdroj: | MedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences [medRxiv] 2024 Nov 07. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Nov 07. |
DOI: | 10.1101/2024.10.06.24314939 |
Abstrakt: | Background: Identifying structural heart diseases (SHDs) early can change the course of the disease, but their diagnosis requires cardiac imaging, which is limited in accessibility. Objective: To leverage images of 12-lead ECGs for automated detection and prediction of multiple SHDs using an ensemble deep learning approach. Methods: We developed a series of convolutional neural network models for detecting a range of individual SHDs from images of ECGs with SHDs defined by transthoracic echocardiograms (TTEs) performed within 30 days of the ECG at the Yale New Haven Hospital (YNHH). SHDs were defined based on TTEs with LV ejection fraction <40%, moderate-to-severe left-sided valvular disease (aortic/mitral stenosis or regurgitation), or severe left ventricular hypertrophy (IVSd > 1.5cm and diastolic dysfunction). We developed an ensemble XGBoost model, PRESENT-SHD, as a composite screen across all SHDs. We validated PRESENT-SHD at 4 US hospitals and a prospective population-based cohort study, the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil), with concurrent protocolized ECGs and TTEs. We also used PRESENT-SHD for risk stratification of new-onset SHD or heart failure (HF) in clinical cohorts and the population-based UK Biobank (UKB). Results: The models were developed using 261,228 ECGs from 93,693 YNHH patients and evaluated on a single ECG from 11,023 individuals at YNHH (19% with SHD), 44,591 across external hospitals (20-27% with SHD), and 3,014 in the ELSA-Brasil (3% with SHD). In the held-out test set, PRESENT-SHD demonstrated an AUROC of 0.886 (0.877-894), sensitivity of 90%, and specificity of 66%. At hospital-based sites, PRESENT-SHD had AUROCs ranging from 0.854-0.900, with sensitivities and specificities of 93-96% and 51-56%, respectively. The model generalized well to ELSA-Brasil (AUROC, 0.853 [0.811-0.897], sensitivity 88%, specificity 62%). PRESENT-SHD performance was consistent across demographic subgroups and novel ECG formats. A positive PRESENT-SHD screen portended a 2- to 4-fold higher risk of new-onset SHD/HF, independent of demographics, comorbidities, and the competing risk of death across clinical sites and UKB, with high predictive discrimination. Conclusion: We developed and validated PRESENT-SHD, an AI-ECG tool identifying a range of SHD using images of 12-lead ECGs, representing a robust, scalable, and accessible modality for automated SHD screening and risk stratification. Competing Interests: Dr. Khera is an Associate Editor of JAMA. Dr. Khera and Mr. Sangha are the coinventors of U.S. Provisional Patent Application No. 63/346,610, “Articles and methods for format-independent detection of hidden cardiovascular disease from printed electrocardiographic images using deep learning” and are co-founders of Ensight-AI. Dr. Khera receives support from the National Institutes of Health (under awards R01AG089981, R01HL167858, and K23HL153775) and the Doris Duke Charitable Foundation (under award 2022060). He receives support from the Blavatnik Foundation through the Blavatnik Fund for Innovation at Yale. He also receives research support, through Yale, from Bristol-Myers Squibb, BridgeBio, and Novo Nordisk. In addition to 63/346,610, Dr. Khera is a coinventor of U.S. Pending Patent Applications WO2023230345A1, US20220336048A1, 63/484,426, 63/508,315, 63/580,137, 63/606,203, 63/619,241, and 63/562,335. Dr. Khera and Dr. Oikonomou are co-founders of Evidence2Health, a precision health platform to improve evidence-based cardiovascular care. Dr. Oikonomou has been a consultant for Caristo Diagnostics Ltd and Ensight-AI Inc, and has received royalty fees from technology licensed through the University of Oxford, outside the submitted work. Dr. Krumholz works under contract with the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services to support quality measurement programs. He is associated with research contracts through Yale University from Janssen, Kenvue, and Pfizer. In the past three years, Dr. Krumholz received options for Element Science and Identifeye and payments from F-Prime for advisory roles. He is a co-founder of and holds equity in Hugo Health, Refactor Health, and Ensight-AI. Dr. Ribeiro is supported in part by the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development - CNPq (grants 465518/2014-1, 310790/2021-2, 409604/2022-4 e 445011/2023-8). Dr. Brant is supported in part by CNPq (307329/2022-4). |
Databáze: | MEDLINE |
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