Changes in mortality due to Chronic Liver Diseases (CLD) during the COVID-19 pandemic: Data from the United States' National Vital Statistics System.
Autor: | Paik JM; Betty and Guy Beatty Center for Integrated Research, Inova Health System, Falls Church, VA, United States of America.; Center for Liver Disease, Department of Medicine, Inova Fairfax Medical Campus, Falls Church, VA, United States of America., Shah D; Center for Liver Disease, Department of Medicine, Inova Fairfax Medical Campus, Falls Church, VA, United States of America., Eberly K; Center for Liver Disease, Department of Medicine, Inova Fairfax Medical Campus, Falls Church, VA, United States of America., Golabi P; Betty and Guy Beatty Center for Integrated Research, Inova Health System, Falls Church, VA, United States of America.; Center for Liver Disease, Department of Medicine, Inova Fairfax Medical Campus, Falls Church, VA, United States of America., Henry L; Betty and Guy Beatty Center for Integrated Research, Inova Health System, Falls Church, VA, United States of America.; Center for Liver Disease, Department of Medicine, Inova Fairfax Medical Campus, Falls Church, VA, United States of America.; Center for Outcomes Research, Washington DC, United States of America., Younossi ZM; Betty and Guy Beatty Center for Integrated Research, Inova Health System, Falls Church, VA, United States of America.; Center for Liver Disease, Department of Medicine, Inova Fairfax Medical Campus, Falls Church, VA, United States of America.; Inova Medicine, Inova Health System, Falls Church, VA, United States of America. |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Zdroj: | PloS one [PLoS One] 2024 Sep 03; Vol. 19 (9), pp. e0289202. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Sep 03 (Print Publication: 2024). |
DOI: | 10.1371/journal.pone.0289202 |
Abstrakt: | Introduction: We assessed chronic liver disease (CLD)-related mortality in the U.S. using death data (2011-2021) obtained from National Vital Statistics System (NVSS). The average annual percentage change (AAPC) from the models selected by Joinpoint regression analysis over the pre-pandemic (2011-2019) and the 2019-2021 were reported because non-linear trend in death rates were observed over the 2011-2021. Liver-specific death was defined as an underlying cause of death and Chronic liver disease (CLD)-related death was defined as any cause of death. During the pre-pandemic, age-standardized HCC- and cirrhosis-specific death rates were annually increased by AAPC = +1.18% (95% confidence interval, 0.34% to 2.03%) and AAPC = +1.95% (1.56% to 2.35%). In contrast, during the 2019-2021, the AAPC in age-standardized cirrhosis-specific death rate (per 100,000) accelerated by up to AAPC +11.25% (15.23 in 2019 to 18.86 in 2021) whereas that in age-standardized HCC-specific death rate slowed to -0.39 (-1.32% to 0.54%) (3.86 in 2019 to 3.84 in 2021). Compared to HCC-specific deaths, cirrhosis-specific deaths were more likely to be non-Hispanic white (72.4% vs. 62.0%) and non-Hispanic American Indian and Alaska native (AIAN) (2.2% vs. 1.1%) and have NAFLD (45.3% vs. 12.5%) and ALD (27.6% vs. 22.0%). During the 2019-2021, the age-standardized HCV- and HBV-related death rate stabilized, whereas the age-standardized NAFLD- and ALD-related deaths rate increased to 20.16 in 2021 (AAPC = +12.13% [7.76% to 16.68%]) and to 14.95 in 2021 (AAPC = +18.30% [13.76% to 23.03%]), which were in contrast to much smaller incremental increases during the pre-pandemic (AAPC = +1.82% [1.29% to 2.35%] and AAPC = +4.54% [3.97% to 5.11%]), respectively). The most pronounced rise in the age-standardized NAFLD-related death rates during the pandemic was observed among AIAN (AAPC = +25.38%), followed by non-Hispanic White female (AAPC = +14.28%), whereas the age-standardized ALD-related death rates during the pandemic were highest among AIAN (AAPC = +40.65%), followed by non-Hispanic Black female (AAPC = +26.79%). Conclusions: COVID-19 pandemic had a major negative impact on cirrhosis-specific and CLD-related mortality in the U.S. with significant racial and gender disparities. Competing Interests: ZMY has received research funds or served as consultant to Gilead Sciences, Intercept, NovoNordisk, BMS, Abbvie, Merck, Madrigal, Genfit, Siemens, BMS, Terns and Viking. All other authors have no conflict of interest to disclose. This does not alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials. (Copyright: © 2024 Paik et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.) |
Databáze: | MEDLINE |
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