Development of an artificial intelligence-based model to predict early recurrence of neuroendocrine liver metastasis after resection.
Autor: | Altaf A; Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, United States., Munir MM; Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, United States., Endo Y; Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, United States., Khan MMM; Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, United States., Rashid Z; Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, United States., Khalil M; Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, United States., Guglielmi A; Department of Surgery, University of Verona, Verona, Italy., Aldrighetti L; Department of Surgery, San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy., Bauer TW; Department of Surgery, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA, United States., Marques HP; Department of Surgery, Curry Cabral Hospital, Lisbon, Portugal., Martel G; Department of Surgery, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada., Lam V; Department of Surgery, Westmead Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia., Weiss MJ; Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States., Fields RC; Department of Surgery, Washington University in Saint Louis School of Medicine, Saint Louis, MO, United States., Poultsides G; Department of Surgery, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, United States., Maithel SK; Department of Surgery, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, United States., Endo I; Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University School of Medicine, Yokohama, Japan., Pawlik TM; Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, United States. Electronic address: Tim.Pawlik@osumc.edu. |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Zdroj: | Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract [J Gastrointest Surg] 2024 Nov; Vol. 28 (11), pp. 1828-1837. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Aug 26. |
DOI: | 10.1016/j.gassur.2024.08.024 |
Abstrakt: | Purpose: We sought to develop an artificial intelligence (AI)-based model to predict early recurrence (ER) after curative-intent resection of neuroendocrine liver metastases (NELMs). Methods: Patients with NELM who underwent resection were identified from a multi-institutional database. ER was defined as recurrence within 12 months of surgery. Different AI-based models were developed to predict ER using 10 clinicopathologic factors. Results: Overall, 473 patients with NELM were included. Among 284 patients with recurrence (60.0%), 118 patients (41.5%) developed an ER. An ensemble AI model demonstrated the highest area under receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.763 and 0.716 in the training and testing cohorts, respectively. Maximum diameter of the primary neuroendocrine tumor, NELM radiologic tumor burden score, and bilateral liver involvement were the factors most strongly associated with risk of NELM ER. Patients predicted to develop ER had worse 5-year recurrence-free survival and overall survival (21.4% vs 37.1% [P = .002] and 61.6% vs 90.3% [P = .03], respectively) than patients not predicted to recur. An easy-to-use tool was made available online: (https://altaf-pawlik-nelm-earlyrecurrence-calculator.streamlit.app/). Conclusion: An AI-based model demonstrated excellent discrimination to predict ER of NELM after resection. The model may help identify patients who can benefit the most from curative-intent resection, risk stratify patients according to prognosis, as well as guide tailored surveillance and treatment decisions including consideration of nonsurgical treatment options. (Copyright © 2024 Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.) |
Databáze: | MEDLINE |
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