Secular trends in incidence and mortality of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in China, 1990-2019, and predictions to 2030: Outlook for the future burden of disease.

Autor:	Su H; School of Physical Education, Shanxi University, No. 92, Wucheng Road, Taiyuan 030006, China.; Department of Breast Surgery, The Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China.; Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China., Xie S; Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China., Lyu J; Department of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.; Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Traditional Chinese Medicine Informatization, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China., Liu Y; Department of Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China., Zhang Y; Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China.
Jazyk:	angličtina
Zdroj:	Tumori [Tumori] 2024 Oct; Vol. 110 (5), pp. 348-354. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Aug 02.
DOI:	10.1177/03008916241261166
Abstrakt:	Background: The aim of this study was to analyze the trend of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma incidence and mortality in China from 1990 to 2019, along with assessing the effects of age, period, and cohort, as well as to predict future trends. Material and Methods: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 we calculated the estimated annual percentage changes in the incidence and mortality of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Age-period-cohort analysis was used to assess the independent effects of these elements. Incidence and mortality until 2030 were predicted using a Bayesian age-period-cohort approach. Results: During 1990-2019, there was a significant increase in the age-standardized incidence and mortality rate in non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Strong effects of birth cohort and period on non-Hodgkin's lymphoma incidence and mortality were observed. In terms of prediction, future non-Hodgkin's lymphoma incidence and mortality in China will continue to increase, while the mortality rate will decrease; for women, both the rates are projected to rise, but they will remain lower than men. Conclusions: Currently, the non-Hodgkin's lymphoma burden is high in China, and it is expected to continue increasing in the future. Policymakers need to prioritize addressing the factors contributing to sex differences in disease burden, including variations in environmental exposures and lifestyles among men and women. Competing Interests: Declaration of conflicting interestsThe author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Databáze:	MEDLINE
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