Paris 2024 Olympic Games: A risk enhancer for autochthonous arboviral diseases epidemics?

Autor:	Lefèvre L; École Pasteur-CNAM, 292 rue Saint-Martin, Paris, France. Electronic address: leila.lefevre@aphp.fr., Vincent-Titeca C; École Pasteur-CNAM, 292 rue Saint-Martin, Paris, France., Garcia-Marin C; École Pasteur-CNAM, 292 rue Saint-Martin, Paris, France., Temime L; MESuRS Laboratory, Conservatoire national des arts et métiers, Paris, France; PACRI Unit, Conservatoire national des arts et métiers, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France., Jean K; MESuRS Laboratory, Conservatoire national des arts et métiers, Paris, France; PACRI Unit, Conservatoire national des arts et métiers, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France; Eco-Evolutionary Mathematics Team, IBENS, École Normale Supérieure, CNRS, INSERM, Université Paris Science & Lettres, Paris, France.
Jazyk:	angličtina
Zdroj:	International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases [Int J Infect Dis] 2024 Sep; Vol. 146, pp. 107191. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Jul 23.
DOI:	10.1016/j.ijid.2024.107191
Abstrakt:	Objectives: The anticipated increase in international tourist flows and the first locally acquired dengue cases in the Paris region in October 2023 have raised concerns about potential arbovirus outbreaks during the 2024 Olympics. Unlike previous mass sporting events at risk of arbovirus outbreaks, Paris is a nonendemic arbovirus area, requiring a unique investigation. Methods: Therefore, we analyzed factors conducive to possible arbovirus epidemics in temperate regions: vector distribution in the Paris area, seasonal global arboviral disease patterns, projected visitor demographics, and international flight bookings. Results and Conclusion: Our results suggest that the expected visitors' profile for the summer of 2024 should not increase the risk of arbovirus importation into the Paris region compared to a typical year. Conversely, the primary risk of arbovirus outbreaks is likely to come from within France, particularly from the French West Indies, where a notable, albeit declining, dengue outbreak is underway. Vigilant surveillance by French health authorities will ensure that this trend continues. Competing Interests: Declarations of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this article. (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
Databáze:	MEDLINE
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