Climate correlates of bluetongue incidence in southern Portugal.

Autor: Mestre F; 'Rui Nabeiro' Biodiversity Chair-Mediterranean Institute for Agriculture, Environment and Development (MED) & Global Change and Sustainability Institute, Institute for Advanced Studies and Research (CHANGE), Universidade de Évora, Évora, Portugal., Pereira AL; Organização de Produtores Pecuários (OPP), Serpa, Portugal., Araújo MB; 'Rui Nabeiro' Biodiversity Chair-Mediterranean Institute for Agriculture, Environment and Development (MED) & Global Change and Sustainability Institute, Institute for Advanced Studies and Research (CHANGE), Universidade de Évora, Évora, Portugal.; Department of Biogeography and Global Change, National Museum of Natural Sciences, CSIC, Madrid, Spain.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Medical and veterinary entomology [Med Vet Entomol] 2024 Dec; Vol. 38 (4), pp. 449-461. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Jun 21.
DOI: 10.1111/mve.12738
Abstrakt: Model forecasts of the spatiotemporal occurrence dynamics of diseases are necessary and can help understand and thus manage future disease outbreaks. In our study, we used ecological niche modelling to assess the impact of climate on the vector suitability for bluetongue disease, a disease affecting livestock production with important economic consequences. Specifically, we investigated the relationship between the occurrence of bluetongue outbreaks and the environmental suitability of each of the four vector species studied. We found that the main vector for bluetongue disease, Culicoides imicola, a typically tropical and subtropical species, was a strong predictor for disease outbreak occurrence in a region of southern Portugal from 2004 to 2021. The results highlight the importance of understanding the climatic factors that might influence vector presence to help manage infectious disease impacts. When diseases impact economically relevant species, the impacts go beyond mortality and have important economic consequences.
(© 2024 Royal Entomological Society.)
Databáze: MEDLINE
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