Genome-wide polygenic risk scores predict risk of glioma and molecular subtypes.

Autor: Nakase T; Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA., Guerra GA; Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA., Ostrom QT; Department of Neurosurgery, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA., Ge T; Psychiatric and Neurodevelopmental Genetics Unit, Center for Genomic Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.; Department of Psychiatry, Center for Precision Psychiatry, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.; Stanley Center for Psychiatric Research, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA., Melin BS; Department of Diagnostics and Intervention, Oncology Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden., Wrensch M; Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA., Wiencke JK; Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA., Jenkins RB; Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA., Eckel-Passow JE; Division of Biomedical Statistics and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA., Bondy ML; Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.; Stanford Cancer Institute, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA., Francis SS; Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.; Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA., Kachuri L; Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.; Stanford Cancer Institute, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Neuro-oncology [Neuro Oncol] 2024 Oct 03; Vol. 26 (10), pp. 1933-1944.
DOI: 10.1093/neuonc/noae112
Abstrakt: Background: Polygenic risk scores (PRS) aggregate the contribution of many risk variants to provide a personalized genetic susceptibility profile. Since sample sizes of glioma genome-wide association studies (GWAS) remain modest, there is a need to efficiently capture genetic risk using available data.
Methods: We applied a method based on continuous shrinkage priors (PRS-CS) to model the joint effects of over 1 million common variants on disease risk and compared this to an approach (PRS-CT) that only selects a limited set of independent variants that reach genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10-8). PRS models were trained using GWAS stratified by histological (10 346 cases and 14 687 controls) and molecular subtype (2632 cases and 2445 controls), and validated in 2 independent cohorts.
Results: PRS-CS was generally more predictive than PRS-CT with a median increase in explained variance (R2) of 24% (interquartile range = 11-30%) across glioma subtypes. Improvements were pronounced for glioblastoma (GBM), with PRS-CS yielding larger odds ratios (OR) per standard deviation (SD) (OR = 1.93, P = 2.0 × 10-54 vs. OR = 1.83, P = 9.4 × 10-50) and higher explained variance (R2 = 2.82% vs. R2 = 2.56%). Individuals in the 80th percentile of the PRS-CS distribution had a significantly higher risk of GBM (0.107%) at age 60 compared to those with average PRS (0.046%, P = 2.4 × 10-12). Lifetime absolute risk reached 1.18% for glioma and 0.76% for IDH wildtype tumors for individuals in the 95th PRS percentile. PRS-CS augmented the classification of IDH mutation status in cases when added to demographic factors (AUC = 0.839 vs. AUC = 0.895, PΔAUC = 6.8 × 10-9).
Conclusions: Genome-wide PRS has the potential to enhance the detection of high-risk individuals and help distinguish between prognostic glioma subtypes.
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Databáze: MEDLINE