Age-corrected neurofilament light chain ratio decreases but does not predict relapse in highly active multiple sclerosis patients initiating natalizumab treatment.

Autor: Højsgaard Chow H; Danish Multiple Sclerosis Center, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Glostrup, Denmark. Electronic address: helene.hoejsgaard.chow@regionh.dk., Petersen ER; Danish Multiple Sclerosis Center, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Glostrup, Denmark., Olsson A; Danish Multiple Sclerosis Center, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Glostrup, Denmark., Hejgaard Laursen J; Danish Multiple Sclerosis Center, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Glostrup, Denmark., Bredahl Hansen M; Danish Multiple Sclerosis Center, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Glostrup, Denmark., Oturai AB; Danish Multiple Sclerosis Center, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Glostrup, Denmark., Soelberg Sørensen P; Danish Multiple Sclerosis Center, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Glostrup, Denmark., Bach Søndergaard H; Danish Multiple Sclerosis Center, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Glostrup, Denmark., Sellebjerg F; Danish Multiple Sclerosis Center, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Glostrup, Denmark.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Multiple sclerosis and related disorders [Mult Scler Relat Disord] 2024 Aug; Vol. 88, pp. 105701. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Jun 12.
DOI: 10.1016/j.msard.2024.105701
Abstrakt: Background: Neurofilament light chain (NFL) is a biomarker for monitoring disease activity and treatment response in multiple sclerosis (MS). However, while most agree that NFL levels predict disease activity and worsening, the predictive value of NFL on future relapse risk remains uncertain.
Objective: The primary aim was to evaluate the predictive value of age-corrected serum NFL (sNFL) ratio on relapse risk in highly active relapsing-remitting MS patients (RRMS) treated with natalizumab. A secondary aim was to investigate the predictive value of sNFL ratios for MRI activity.
Methods: From January 1, 2006, to December 31, 2010, 355 patients initiated natalizumab treatment at the Danish Multiple Sclerosis Center. 305 patients were anti-natalizumab antibodies negative and had at least one blood sample available for sNFL analysis using single molecule array analysis at baseline, three, six, or 12 months. The patients were either treatment-naïve (n = 8), switching from interferon-β or glatiramer acetate (n = 253), or switching from mitoxantrone (n = 44). An age-corrected ratio was calculated for sNFL. Time to first relapse was calculated from baseline and after re-baseline at 90 days. Data were collected from baseline until the two-year follow-up or end of treatment and included disease duration, expanded disability status scale, previous treatments, relapses 12 months prior to natalizumab initiation, smoking intensity, body mass index, and body weight. In addition, the patients underwent annual MRI of the brain.
Results: The sNFL ratio was increased in 173 of 287 samples (60.3 %) at baseline, in 119 of 246 samples (48.8 %) at month three, in 109 of 287 samples (38.0 %) at month six, and in 82 of 270 samples (30.4 %) at month 12. The sNFL ratio continuously declined over 12 months with significant decreases for every measuring timepoint: baseline vs. three months p = 3.0 × 10 -6 ; three months vs. six months p = 3.2 × 10 -5 ; six months vs. 12 months p = 0.002. Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that time to first relapse from 1) natalizumab initiation and from 2) re-baseline was associated with the number of relapses in the previous 12 months (hazard ratio 1.31 per relapse, 95 % CI = 1.2-1.5, p = 2.0 × 10 -6 ; and 1.21 per relapse, 95 % CI = 1.1-1.4, p = 0.002, respectively). sNFL ratio at re-baseline was negatively associated with relapse risk (hazard ratio 0.82 per unit; 95 % CI = 0.7-1.0; p = 0.049). A multivariable Cox regression analysis of relapse risk from re-baseline showed that the number of relapses in the 12 months prior to natalizumab treatment (hazard ratio 1.29; 95 % CI = 1.1-1.5; p = 6.0 × 10 -4 ) and smoking (hazard ratio 1.51 per 20 cigarettes per day; 95 % CI = 1.0-2.2; p = 0.030) were associated with increased risk of relapse; sNFL ratio was associated with a lower risk of relapse (hazard ratio = 0.736 per unit; 95 % CI = 0.6-0.9 p = 0.007). In univariate logistic regression analyses, the sNFL ratio at 12 months and values above the 75th and the 90th percentile predicted MRI activity in the following year (odds ratio [OR] = 2.0, 95 % CI = 1.2-3.6, p = 0.012; OR = 2.2, 95 % CI = 1.2-4.1, p = 0.014; and OR = 2.8, 95 % CI = 1.1-6.7, p = 0.026).
Conclusion: In this highly active RRMS cohort, high sNFL ratios reflected previous relapse activity and decreased after initiation of treatment but were not associated with increased relapse risk in the following two years. Pre-treatment relapses and smoking on treatment were predictors of relapse risk after re-baselining at 90 days. MRI activity in year two was predicted by sNFL ratios at month 12.
Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest H. Højsgaard Chow reports non-financial support from Merck, non-financial support from Teva, non-financial support from Biogen, non-financial support from Roche, outside the submitted work and personal support from the Warwara Larsen Foundation. E. Rosa Petersen has nothing to declare. A. Olsson has nothing to declare. J. Hejgaard Laursen has nothing to declare. M. Bredahl Hansen has nothing to declare. A. Bang Oturai has nothing to declare. P. Soelberg Sørensen has received personal compensation for consultations, serving on scientific advisory boards, steering committees, independent data monitoring committees or have received honoraria as speaker from Biogen, Merck, Novartis, TEVA, and BMS/Celgene. H. Bach Søndergaard has nothing to declare. F. Sellebjerg reports grants from Biogen, grants from Danish Multiple Sclerosis Society, during the conduct of the study; grants and personal fees from Biogen, personal fees from Lundbeck, grants and personal fees from Merck, grants and personal fees from Novartis, grants and personal fees from Roche, grants and personal fees from Sanofi Genzyme, outside the submitted work; and Professor F. Sellebjerg is section editor on Multiple Sclerosis and Related Disorders.
(Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier B.V.)
Databáze: MEDLINE
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