Data-Driven Phenotyping of Presymptomatic Type 1 Diabetes Using Longitudinal Autoantibody Profiles.

Autor: Ghalwash M; T.J. Watson Research Center, IBM, Yorktown Heights, NY.; Faculty of Science, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt., Anand V; T.J. Watson Research Center, IBM, Cambridge, MA., Ng K; T.J. Watson Research Center, IBM, Yorktown Heights, NY., Dunne JL; JDRF, New York, NY., Lou O; JDRF, New York, NY., Lundgren M; Department of Clinical Sciences, Lund University/Clinical Research Centre, Skåne University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden., Hagopian WA; Pacific Northwest Research Institute, Seattle, WA., Rewers M; Department of Pediatrics, Barbara Davis Center for Diabetes, Denver, CO., Ziegler AG; Institute of Diabetes Research, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Helmholtz Zentrum München, Munich-Neuherberg, Germany., Veijola R; Research Unit of Clinical Medicine, Medical Research Center, Department of Pediatrics, University of Oulu and Oulu University Hospital, Oulu, Finland.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Diabetes care [Diabetes Care] 2024 Aug 01; Vol. 47 (8), pp. 1424-1431.
DOI: 10.2337/dc24-0198
Abstrakt: Objective: To characterize distinct islet autoantibody profiles preceding stage 3 type 1 diabetes.
Research Design and Methods: The T1DI (Type 1 Diabetes Intelligence) study combined data from 1,845 genetically susceptible prospectively observed children who were positive for at least one islet autoantibody: insulin autoantibody (IAA), GAD antibody (GADA), or islet antigen 2 antibody (IA-2A). Using a novel similarity algorithm that considers an individual's temporal autoantibody profile, age at autoantibody appearance, and variation in the positivity of autoantibody types, we performed an unsupervised hierarchical clustering analysis. Progression rates to diabetes were analyzed via survival analysis.
Results: We identified five main clusters of individuals with distinct autoantibody profiles characterized by seroconversion age and sequence of appearance of the three autoantibodies. The highest 5-year risk from first positive autoantibody to type 1 diabetes (69.9%; 95% CI 60.0-79.2) was observed in children who first developed IAA in early life (median age 1.6 years) followed by GADA (1.9 years) and then IA-2A (2.1 years). Their 10-year risk was 89.9% (95% CI 81.9-95.4). A high 5-year risk was also found in children with persistent IAA and GADA (39.1%) and children with persistent GADA and IA-2A (30.9%). A lower 5-year risk (10.5%) was observed in children with a late appearance of persistent GADA (6.1 years). The lowest 5-year diabetes risk (1.6%) was associated with positivity for a single, often reverting, autoantibody.
Conclusions: The novel clustering algorithm identified children with distinct islet autoantibody profiles and progression rates to diabetes. These results are useful for prediction, selection of individuals for prevention trials, and studies investigating various pathways to type 1 diabetes.
(© 2024 by the American Diabetes Association.)
Databáze: MEDLINE