The aortic paradox: a nationwide analysis of 523 994 individual echocardiograms exploring fatal aortic dissection.

Autor: Paratz ED; Heart, Exercise & Research Trials, Victor Chang Cardiac Research Institute, 405 Liverpool St, Darlinghurst, NSW 2010, Australia.; Heart, Exercise and Research Trials, St Vincent's Institute, 9 Princes St, Fitzroy, VIC 3065, Australia.; Faculty of Medicine, Dentistry and Health Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3000, Australia.; Ambulance Victoria, 31 Joseph St, Blackburn North, VIC 3130, Australia., Nadel J; Department of Cardiology, St Vincent's Hospital Sydney, 390 Victoria St, Darlinghurst, NSW 2010, Australia.; Heart Research Institute, 7 Eliza St, Newtown, NSW 2042, Australia., Humphries J; Advara HeartCare, Newdegate St, Greenslopes, QLD 4120, Australia.; Department of Cardiology, The Prince Charles Hospital, Rode Rd, Chermside, QLD 4032, Australia., Rowe S; Heart, Exercise & Research Trials, Victor Chang Cardiac Research Institute, 405 Liverpool St, Darlinghurst, NSW 2010, Australia.; Heart, Exercise and Research Trials, St Vincent's Institute, 9 Princes St, Fitzroy, VIC 3065, Australia.; Faculty of Medicine, Dentistry and Health Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3000, Australia., Fahy L; Heart, Exercise & Research Trials, Victor Chang Cardiac Research Institute, 405 Liverpool St, Darlinghurst, NSW 2010, Australia.; Heart, Exercise and Research Trials, St Vincent's Institute, 9 Princes St, Fitzroy, VIC 3065, Australia., La Gerche A; Heart, Exercise & Research Trials, Victor Chang Cardiac Research Institute, 405 Liverpool St, Darlinghurst, NSW 2010, Australia.; Heart, Exercise and Research Trials, St Vincent's Institute, 9 Princes St, Fitzroy, VIC 3065, Australia.; Faculty of Medicine, Dentistry and Health Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3000, Australia., Prior D; Heart, Exercise and Research Trials, St Vincent's Institute, 9 Princes St, Fitzroy, VIC 3065, Australia.; Faculty of Medicine, Dentistry and Health Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3000, Australia., Celermajer D; Heart Research Institute, 7 Eliza St, Newtown, NSW 2042, Australia.; Department of Cardiology, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, 50 Missenden Rd, Camperdown, NSW 2050, Australia.; Faculty of Medicine, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW 2050, Australia., Strange G; Department of Cardiology, The Prince Charles Hospital, Rode Rd, Chermside, QLD 4032, Australia.; Institute for Health Research, University of Notre Dame, 32 Mouat St, Fremantle, WA 6160, Australia., Playford D; Institute for Health Research, University of Notre Dame, 32 Mouat St, Fremantle, WA 6160, Australia.; School of Medicine, The University of Notre Dame, 32 Mouat St, Fremantle, WA 6160, Australia.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: European heart journal. Cardiovascular Imaging [Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging] 2024 Sep 30; Vol. 25 (10), pp. 1423-1431.
DOI: 10.1093/ehjci/jeae140
Abstrakt: Aims: Increasing aortic dilation increases the risk of aortic dissection. Nevertheless, dissection occurs at dimensions below guideline-directed cut-offs for prophylactic surgery. Currently, there are no large-scale population imaging data assessing aortic dimensions before dissection.
Methods and Results: Patients within the National Echo Database of Australia were stratified according to absolute, height-indexed, and body surface area (BSA)-indexed aortic dimensions. Fatal thoracic aortic dissections (ICD-10-AM Code I71) were identified via linkage with the National Death Index. A total of 524 994 individuals were assessed, comprising patients with normal aortic dimensions (n = 460 992), mild dilation (n = 53 402), moderate dilation (n = 10 029), and severe dilation (n = 572). A total of 274 992 (52.4%) were males, with a median age of 64 years and a median follow-up time of 6.9 years. Eight hundred and ninety-nine fatal aortic dissections occurred (normal diameter = 610, mildly dilated aorta = 215, moderately dilated = 53, and severely dilated = 21). Using normal aortas as the reference population, odds of fatal dissection increased with aortic diameter [mild = odds ratio (OR) 3.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.61-3.56; moderate = OR 4.0, 95% CI 3.02-5.30; severe = OR 28.72, 95% CI 18.44-44.72]. Due to the much larger number of patients without severe aortic dilation, 97.7% of fatal aortic dissections occurred in non-severely dilated aortas. Following sensitivity analysis, severe aortic dilation was responsible for at most 24.4% of fatal aortic dissections. The results were robust for absolute, height-indexed, or BSA-indexed aortic measurements.
Conclusion: Although severe aortic dilatation is associated with a near-30-fold increase in fatal dissections, severely dilated aortas are implicated in only 2.3-24.4% of fatal dissections. This highlights the 'aortic paradox' and limitations of current guidelines. Future studies should seek to refine risk predictors in patients without severe aortic dilation.
Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: None declared.
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Databáze: MEDLINE