Bellwethers of change: population modelling of North Pacific humpback whales from 2002 through 2021 reveals shift from recovery to climate response.

Autor:	Cheeseman T; Marine Ecology Research Centre, Southern Cross University, Lismore, New South Wales, Australia.; Happywhale, Santa Cruz, CA, USA., Barlow J; Marine Mammal Institute, Oregon State University, Newport, OR, USA., Acebes JM; BALYENA.ORG, Brgy. Pangdan, Jagna, Bohol, The Philippines., Audley K; Whales of Guerrero, Portland, OR, USA., Bejder L; Marine Mammal Research Program, Hawai'i Institute of Marine Biology, University of Hawai'i at Manoa, Kaneohe, HI, USA., Birdsall C; Marine Education and Research Society, Port McNeill, British Columbia, Canada., Bracamontes OS; University of Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico., Bradford AL; NOAA Fisheries Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center, Honolulu, HI, USA., Byington J; Pacific Wildlife Foundation Canada, Port Moody, British Columbia, Canada., Calambokidis J; Cascadia Research Collective, Olympia, WA, USA., Cartwright R; The Keiki Kohola Project, Delray Beach, FL, USA.; California State University Channel Islands, Camarillo, CA, USA., Cedarleaf J; University of Alaska Southeast, Sitka Campus, Sitka, AK, USA., Chavez AJG; Whales of Guerrero, Portland, OR, USA., Currie J; Pacific Whale Foundation, Wailuku, HI, USA., De Castro RC; BALYENA.ORG, Brgy. Pangdan, Jagna, Bohol, The Philippines., De Weerdt J; Association ELI-S, Gujan-Mestras, France.; Vrije Universiteit, Brussels, Belgium., Doe N; Marine Education and Research Society, Port McNeill, British Columbia, Canada., Doniol-Valcroze T; Pacific Biological Station, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada., Dracott K; Ocean Wise, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada., Filatova O; Department of Biology, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark., Finn R; Hawaiian Islands Humpback Whale National Marine Sanctuary, Kīhei, HI, USA., Flynn KR; Cascadia Research Collective, Olympia, WA, USA., Ford J; Pacific Biological Station, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada., Frisch-Jordán A; Ecología y Conservación de Ballenas, AC, Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco, Mexico., Gabriele C; Hawai'i Marine Mammal Consortium, Waimea, HI, USA.; Glacier Bay National Park and Preserve, Gustavus, AK, USA., Goodwin B; Eye of the Whale Marine Mammal Research, Kamuela, HI, USA., Hayslip C; Marine Mammal Institute, Oregon State University, Newport, OR, USA., Hildering J; Marine Education and Research Society, Port McNeill, British Columbia, Canada., Hill MC; NOAA Fisheries Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center, Honolulu, HI, USA.; Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Research Corporation of the University of Hawai'i, Honolulu, HI, USA., Jacobsen JK; VE Enterprises, McKinleyville, CA, USA., Jiménez-López ME; Departamento Académico de Ingeniería en Pesquerías, Universidad Autónoma de Baja California Sur, La Paz, BCS, Mexico., Jones M; Whale Trust, Puunene, HI, USA., Kobayashi N; Okinawa Churashima Foundation, Okinawa, Japan., Lammers M; Hawaiian Islands Humpback Whale National Marine Sanctuary, Kīhei, HI, USA., Lyman E; Hawaiian Islands Humpback Whale National Marine Sanctuary, Kīhei, HI, USA., Malleson M; Center for Whale Research, Friday Harbour, WA, USA., Mamaev E; FGBU Gosudarstvennyj zapovednik Komandorskij, Commander Islands, Kamchatka Krai, Russia., Loustalot PM; Universidad Autonoma de Baja California Sur, La Paz, BCS, Mexico., Masterman A; National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA, Auke Bay Laboratories, Alaska Fisheries Science Center, Juneau, AK, USA., Matkin CO; North Gulf Oceanic Society, Homer, AK, USA., McMillan C; Marine Education and Research Society, Port McNeill, British Columbia, Canada.; Pacific Biological Station, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada., Moore J; NOAA Fisheries Southwest Fisheries Science Center, La Jolla, CA, USA., Moran J; National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA, Auke Bay Laboratories, Alaska Fisheries Science Center, Juneau, AK, USA., Neilson JL; Glacier Bay National Park and Preserve, Gustavus, AK, USA., Newell H; Happywhale, Santa Cruz, CA, USA., Okabe H; Okinawa Churashima Foundation, Okinawa, Japan., Olio M; Happywhale, Santa Cruz, CA, USA., Ortega-Ortiz CD; Faculty of Marine Sciences, Universidad de Colima, Colima, Mexico., Pack AA; Department of Psychology, University of Hawai'i at Hilo, Hilo, HI, USA.; The Dolphin Institute, Hilo, HI, USA., Palacios DM; Marine Mammal Institute, Oregon State University, Newport, OR, USA., Pearson H; University of Alaska Southeast, Juneau, AK, USA., Quintana-Rizzo E; Emmanuel College, Boston, MA, USA., Barragán RR; Whales of Guerrero, Portland, OR, USA., Ransome N; College of Sustainable Aquatic Ecosystems, Harry Butler Institute, Murdoch University, Western Australia, Australia., Rosales-Nanduca H; Departamento Académico de Ingeniería en Pesquerías, Universidad Autónoma de Baja California Sur, La Paz, BCS, Mexico., Sharpe F; McCowan Lab, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, USA., Shaw T; Humpback Whales of the Salish Sea, Duncan, British Columbia, Canada., Southerland K; Happywhale, Santa Cruz, CA, USA., Stack S; Pacific Whale Foundation, Wailuku, HI, USA., Staniland I; International Whaling Commission, Impington, UK., Straley J; University of Alaska Southeast, Juneau, AK, USA., Szabo A; Alaska Whale Foundation, Petersburg, AK, USA., Teerlink S; Juneau Flukes, Juneau, AK, USA.; NOAA Fisheries Alaska Regional Office, Juneau, AK, USA., Titova O; A. N. Severtsov Institute of Ecology and Evolution of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia., Urban-Ramirez J; Universidad Autonoma de Baja California Sur, La Paz, BCS, Mexico., van Aswegen M; Marine Mammal Research Program, Hawai'i Institute of Marine Biology, University of Hawai'i at Manoa, Kaneohe, HI, USA., Vinicius M; Happywhale, Santa Cruz, CA, USA., von Ziegesar O; Winged Whale Research, Homer, AK, USA., Witteveen B; University of Alaska Fairbanks College of Fisheries and Ocean Sciences, Fairbanks, AK, USA., Wray J; North Coast Cetacean Society, Alert Bay, British Columbia, Canada., Yano K; NOAA Fisheries Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center, Honolulu, HI, USA.; Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Research Corporation of the University of Hawai'i, Honolulu, HI, USA., Yegin I; Happywhale, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.; University of Stirling, Stirling, UK., Zwiefelhofer D; Happywhale, Santa Cruz, CA, USA., Clapham P; Seastar Scientific, Vashon, WA, USA.
Jazyk:	angličtina
Zdroj:	Royal Society open science [R Soc Open Sci] 2024 Feb 28; Vol. 11 (2), pp. 231462. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Feb 28 (Print Publication: 2024).
DOI:	10.1098/rsos.231462
Abstrakt:	For the 40 years after the end of commercial whaling in 1976, humpback whale populations in the North Pacific Ocean exhibited a prolonged period of recovery. Using mark-recapture methods on the largest individual photo-identification dataset ever assembled for a cetacean, we estimated annual ocean-basin-wide abundance for the species from 2002 through 2021. Trends in annual estimates describe strong post-whaling era population recovery from 16 875 (± 5955) in 2002 to a peak abundance estimate of 33 488 (± 4455) in 2012. An apparent 20% decline from 2012 to 2021, 33 488 (± 4455) to 26 662 (± 4192), suggests the population abruptly reached carrying capacity due to loss of prey resources. This was particularly evident for humpback whales wintering in Hawai'i, where, by 2021, estimated abundance had declined by 34% from a peak in 2013, down to abundance levels previously seen in 2006, and contrasted to an absence of decline in Mainland Mexico breeding humpbacks. The strongest marine heatwave recorded globally to date during the 2014-2016 period appeared to have altered the course of species recovery, with enduring effects. Extending this time series will allow humpback whales to serve as an indicator species for the ecosystem in the face of a changing climate. Competing Interests: We declare we have no competing interests. (© 2024 The Authors.)
Databáze:	MEDLINE
Externí odkaz:	Zobrazit plný text záznamu