Solar photovoltaic panel production in Mexico: A novel machine learning approach.

Autor: López-Flores FJ; Chemical Engineering Department, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo, Av. Francisco J. Múgica, S/N, Ciudad Universitaria, Edificio V1, Morelia, Mich., 58060, Mexico., Ramírez-Márquez C; Chemical Engineering Department, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo, Av. Francisco J. Múgica, S/N, Ciudad Universitaria, Edificio V1, Morelia, Mich., 58060, Mexico., Rubio-Castro E; Chemical and Biological Sciences Department, Universidad Autónoma de Sinaloa, Av. de las Américas S/N, Culiacán, Sinaloa, 80010, Mexico., Ponce-Ortega JM; Chemical Engineering Department, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo, Av. Francisco J. Múgica, S/N, Ciudad Universitaria, Edificio V1, Morelia, Mich., 58060, Mexico. Electronic address: jose.ponce@umich.mx.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Environmental research [Environ Res] 2024 Apr 01; Vol. 246, pp. 118047. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Dec 29.
DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.118047
Abstrakt: This study examines the potential for widespread solar photovoltaic panel production in Mexico and emphasizes the country's unique qualities that position it as a strong manufacturing candidate in this field. An advanced model based on artificial neural networks has been developed to predict solar photovoltaic panel plant metrics. This model integrates a state-of-the-art non-linear programming framework using Pyomo as well as an innovative optimization and machine learning toolkit library. This approach creates surrogate models for individual photovoltaic plants including production timelines. While this research, conducted through extensive simulations and meticulous computations, unveiled that Latin America has been significantly underrepresented in the production of silicon, wafers, cells, and modules within the global market; it also demonstrates the substantial potential of scaling up photovoltaic panel production in Mexico, leading to significant economic, social, and environmental benefits. By hyperparameter optimization, an outstanding and competitive artificial neural network model has been developed with a coefficient of determination values above 0.99 for all output variables. It has been found that water and energy consumption during PV panel production is remarkable. However, water consumption (33.16 × 10 -4  m 3 /kWh) and the emissions generated (1.12 × 10 -6 TonCO 2 /kWh) during energy production are significantly lower than those of conventional power plants. Notably, the results highlight a positive economic trend, with module production plants generating the highest profits (35.7%) among all production stages, while polycrystalline silicon production plants yield comparatively lower earnings (13.0%). Furthermore, this study underscores a critical factor in the photovoltaic panel production process which is that cell production plants contribute the most to energy consumption (39.7%) due to their intricate multi-stage processes. The blending of Machine Learning and optimization models heralds a new era in resource allocation for a more sustainable renewable energy sector, offering a brighter, greener future.
Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
(Copyright © 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
Databáze: MEDLINE
Externí odkaz: