Incorporating biodiversity responses to land use change scenarios for preventing emerging zoonotic diseases in areas of unknown host-pathogen interactions.
Autor: | Roque FO; Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil.; Centre for Tropical Environmental and Sustainability Science (TESS) and College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Cairns, QLD, Australia., Bellón B; BIODIVAG, Univ Angers, Angers, France.; Department of Environmental Science, Rhodes University, Makhanda, South Africa., Guerra A; Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil., Valente-Neto F; Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil., Santos CC; Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil.; BIODIVAG, Univ Angers, Angers, France.; Wetlands International Brazil, Campo Grande, Brazil., Melo I; Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil.; Instituto de Investigación de Recursos Biológicos Alexander von Humboldt, Bogotá, Colombia., Nobre Arcos A; Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil., de Oliveira AG; Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil., Valle Nunes A; Instituto Nacional de Pesquisa do Pantanal, Programa de Capacitação Institucional, Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi, Cuiabá, Brazil., de Araujo Martins C; Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil.; BIODIVAG, Univ Angers, Angers, France.; Wetlands International Brazil, Campo Grande, Brazil., Souza FL; Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil., Herrera H; Universidade Católica Dom Bosco, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciências Ambientais e Sustentabilidade Agropecuária, Campo Grande, Brazil., Tavares LER; Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil., Almeida-Gomes M; Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil., Pays O; BIODIVAG, Univ Angers, Angers, France.; REHABS International Research Laboratory, CNRS-Université Lyon 1-Nelson Mandela University, George, South Africa., Renaud PC; BIODIVAG, Univ Angers, Angers, France., Gomes Barrios SP; Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil., Yon L; School of Veterinary Medicine and Science, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom., Bowsher G; Centre for Conflict and Health, King's College, London, United Kingdom., Sullivan R; Centre for Conflict and Health, King's College, London, United Kingdom., Johnson M; School of Geography, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom., Grelle CEV; Department of Ecology, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Campo Grande, Brazil., Ochoa-Quintero JM; Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil.; Instituto de Investigación de Recursos Biológicos Alexander von Humboldt, Bogotá, Colombia. |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Zdroj: | Frontiers in veterinary science [Front Vet Sci] 2023 Nov 09; Vol. 10, pp. 1229676. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Nov 09 (Print Publication: 2023). |
DOI: | 10.3389/fvets.2023.1229676 |
Abstrakt: | The need to reconcile food production, the safeguarding of nature, and the protection of public health is imperative in a world of continuing global change, particularly in the context of risks of emerging zoonotic disease (EZD). In this paper, we explored potential land use strategies to reduce EZD risks using a landscape approach. We focused on strategies for cases where the dynamics of pathogen transmission among species were poorly known and the ideas of "land-use induced spillover" and "landscape immunity" could be used very broadly. We first modeled three different land-use change scenarios in a region of transition between the Cerrado and the Atlantic Forest biodiversity hotspots. The land-use strategies used to build our scenarios reflected different proportions of native vegetation cover, as a proxy of habitat availability. We then evaluated the effects of the proportion of native vegetation cover on the occupancy probability of a group of mammal species and analyzed how the different land-use scenarios might affect the distribution of species in the landscape and thus the risk of EZD. We demonstrate that these approaches can help identify potential future EZD risks, and can thus be used as decision-making tools by stakeholders, with direct implications for improving both environmental and socio-economic outcomes. Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. (Copyright © 2023 Roque, Bellón, Guerra, Valente-Neto, Santos, Melo, Nobre Arcos, de Oliveira, Valle Nunes, de Araujo Martins, Souza, Herrera, Tavares, Almeida-Gomes, Pays, Renaud, Gomes Barrios, Yon, Bowsher, Sullivan, Johnson, Grelle and Ochoa-Quintero.) |
Databáze: | MEDLINE |
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