Widespread habitat loss and redistribution of marine top predators in a changing ocean.

Autor:	Braun CD; Biology Department, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA 02543, USA., Lezama-Ochoa N; Environmental Research Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Monterey, CA 93940, USA.; Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA., Farchadi N; Institute for Ecological Monitoring and Management, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA 92182, USA., Arostegui MC; Biology Department, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA 02543, USA., Alexander M; NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO 80305, USA., Allyn A; Gulf of Maine Research Institute, Portland, ME 04101, USA., Bograd SJ; Environmental Research Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Monterey, CA 93940, USA., Brodie S; Environmental Research Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Monterey, CA 93940, USA.; Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA., Crear DP; ECS Federal, in Support of National Marine Fisheries Service, Atlantic Highly Migratory Species Management Division, Silver Spring, MD 20910, USA., Curtis TH; National Marine Fisheries Service, Atlantic Highly Migratory Species Management Division, Gloucester, MA 01930, USA., Hazen EL; Environmental Research Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Monterey, CA 93940, USA.; Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA., Kerney A; Gulf of Maine Research Institute, Portland, ME 04101, USA., Mills KE; Gulf of Maine Research Institute, Portland, ME 04101, USA., Pugh D; Gulf of Maine Research Institute, Portland, ME 04101, USA., Scott JD; NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO 80305, USA.; Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO 80309, USA., Welch H; Environmental Research Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Monterey, CA 93940, USA.; Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA., Young-Morse R; Gulf of Maine Research Institute, Portland, ME 04101, USA., Lewison RL; Institute for Ecological Monitoring and Management, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA 92182, USA.
Jazyk:	angličtina
Zdroj:	Science advances [Sci Adv] 2023 Aug 09; Vol. 9 (32), pp. eadi2718. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Aug 09.
DOI:	10.1126/sciadv.adi2718
Abstrakt:	The Northwest Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico are among the fastest warming ocean regions, a trend that is expected to continue through this century with far-reaching implications for marine ecosystems. We examine the distribution of 12 highly migratory top predator species using predictive models and project expected habitat changes using downscaled climate models. Our models predict widespread losses of suitable habitat for most species, concurrent with substantial northward displacement of core habitats >500 km. These changes include up to >70% loss of suitable habitat area for some commercially and ecologically important species. We also identify predicted hot spots of multi-species habitat loss focused offshore of the U.S. Southeast and Mid-Atlantic coasts. For several species, the predicted changes are already underway, which are likely to have substantial impacts on the efficacy of static regulatory frameworks used to manage highly migratory species. The ongoing and projected effects of climate change highlight the urgent need to adaptively and proactively manage dynamic marine ecosystems.
Databáze:	MEDLINE
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