Impacts of climate change on herpetofauna diversity in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau.

Autor: Karuno AP; State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution & Yunnan key laboratory of Biodiversity and Ecological Conservation of Gaoligong Mountain, Kunming Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, P. R. China.; Kunming College of Life Science, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, P. R. China., Mi X; State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution & Yunnan key laboratory of Biodiversity and Ecological Conservation of Gaoligong Mountain, Kunming Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, P. R. China.; Kunming College of Life Science, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, P. R. China., Chen Y; Chengdu Institute of Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu, P. R. China., Zou DH; State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution & Yunnan key laboratory of Biodiversity and Ecological Conservation of Gaoligong Mountain, Kunming Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, P. R. China.; Research Center for Ecology, College of Science, Tibet University, Lhasa, P. R. China., Gao W; State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution & Yunnan key laboratory of Biodiversity and Ecological Conservation of Gaoligong Mountain, Kunming Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, P. R. China., Zhang BL; State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution & Yunnan key laboratory of Biodiversity and Ecological Conservation of Gaoligong Mountain, Kunming Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, P. R. China., Xu W; State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution & Yunnan key laboratory of Biodiversity and Ecological Conservation of Gaoligong Mountain, Kunming Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, P. R. China., Jin JQ; State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution & Yunnan key laboratory of Biodiversity and Ecological Conservation of Gaoligong Mountain, Kunming Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, P. R. China., Shen WJ; State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution & Yunnan key laboratory of Biodiversity and Ecological Conservation of Gaoligong Mountain, Kunming Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, P. R. China., Huang S; College of Life Sciences, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu, P. R. China., Zhou WW; State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution & Yunnan key laboratory of Biodiversity and Ecological Conservation of Gaoligong Mountain, Kunming Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, P. R. China.; State Key Laboratory of Grassland Agro-ecosystems, Institute of Innovation Ecology & College of Life Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, P. R. China., Che J; State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution & Yunnan key laboratory of Biodiversity and Ecological Conservation of Gaoligong Mountain, Kunming Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, P. R. China.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology [Conserv Biol] 2023 Dec; Vol. 37 (6), pp. e14155. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Sep 15.
DOI: 10.1111/cobi.14155
Abstrakt: Although numerous studies on the impacts of climate change on biodiversity have been published, only a handful are focused on the intraspecific level or consider population-level models (separate models per population). We endeavored to fill this knowledge gap relative to the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau (QTP) by combining species distribution modeling (SDMs) with population genetics (i.e., population-level models) and phylogenetic methods (i.e., phylogenetic tree reconstruction and phylogenetic diversity analyses). We applied our models to 11 endemic and widely distributed herpetofauna species inhabiting high elevations in the QTP. We aimed to determine the influence of environmental heterogeneity on species' responses to climate change, the magnitude of climate-change impacts on intraspecific diversity, and the relationship between species range loss and intraspecific diversity losses under 2 shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP245 and SSP585) and 3 future periods (2050s, 2070s, and 2090s). The effects of global climatic change were more pronounced at the intraspecific level (22% of haplotypes lost and 36% of populations lost) than the morphospecies level in the SSP585 climate change scenario. Maintenance of genetic diversity was in general determined by a combination of factors including range changes, species genetic structure, and the part of the range predicted to be lost. This is owing to the fact that the loss and survival of populations were observed in species irrespective of the predicted range changes (contraction or expansion). In the southeast (mountainous regions), climate change had less of an effect on range size (>100% in 3 species) than in central and northern QTP plateau regions (range size <100% in all species). This may be attributed to environmental heterogeneity, which provided pockets of suitable climate in the southeast, whereas ecosystems in the north and central regions were homogeneous. Generally, our results imply that mountainous regions with high environmental heterogeneity and high genetic diversity may buffer the adverse impacts of climate change on species distribution and intraspecific diversity. Therefore, genetic structure and characteristics of the ecosystem may be crucial for conservation under climate change.
(© 2023 Society for Conservation Biology.)
Databáze: MEDLINE
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