Deforestation impacts on dengue incidence in the Brazilian Amazon.

Autor: da Silva CFA; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Center of Technologies and Geosciences, Federal University of Pernambuco, UFPE, Avenida da Engenharia, S/N - Cidade Universitária, 50670-420, Recife, Pernambuco, Brazil. carlos.assuncao@ufpe.br., Dos Santos AM; Center of Agroforestry Sciences and Technologies, Federal University of Southern Bahia, Rodovia Ilhéus/Itabuna, Km 22, 45604-811, Itabuna, Brazil., do Bonfim CV; Social Research Department, Joaquim Nabuco Foundation, Recife, PE, Brazil., da Silva Melo JL; Department of Statistics, Center of Nature and Exact Sciences, Federal University of Pernambuco, UFPE, Avenida Professor Moraes Rego, Cidade Universitária, Recife, 123550670-901, Pernambuco, Brazil., Sato SS; Department of Cartographic Engineering, Center of Technologies and Geosciences, Federal University of Pernambuco, UFPE, Acadêmico Hélio Ramos, Cidade Universitária, S/N, 50740-530, Recife, Avenida, Brazil., Barreto EP; Master in Environmental Technology, Pernambuco Institute of Technology, ITEP, Avenida Professor Luís Freire, 700 - Cidade Universitária, Recife - PE, 50740-540, Recife, Pernambuco, Brazil.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Environmental monitoring and assessment [Environ Monit Assess] 2023 Apr 20; Vol. 195 (5), pp. 593. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Apr 20.
DOI: 10.1007/s10661-023-11174-0
Abstrakt: The objective of the study is to perform the spatial analysis of the conditioning factors for the increase in the incidence rate of dengue cases in municipalities located in the Amazon biome, in the period from 2016 to 2021. Three statistical approaches were applied: Moran's index, ordinary least squares regression, and geographically weighted regression. The results revealed that the incidence rates of dengue cases cluster in two areas, both located in the south of the Amazon biome, which is associated with the Arc of Deforestation. The variable deforestation influences the increase in dengue incidence rates revealed by the OLS and GWR model. The adjusted R 2 of the GWR model was 0.70, that is, the model explains about 70% of the total case variation of dengue incidence rates in the Amazon biome. The results of the study evidence the need for public policies aimed at the prevention and combat of deforestation in the Amazon region.
(© 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.)
Databáze: MEDLINE
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