Increasing Pancreatic Cancer Incidence in Young Women in the United States: A Population-Based Time-Trend Analysis, 2001-2018.

Autor: Abboud Y; Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Samaan JS; Department of Medicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Oh J; Department of Medicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Jiang Y; Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Randhawa N; Department of Internal Medicine, Franciscan Health, Olympia Fields, Illinois., Lew D; Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Ghaith J; Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Pala P; Kamineni Academy of Medical Sciences and Research Centre, Hyderabad, India., Leyson C; Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Watson R; Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Liu Q; Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Park K; Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Paski S; Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Osipov A; Department of Medicine, Samuel Oschin Comprehensive Cancer Institute, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Larson BK; Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Hendifar A; Department of Medicine, Samuel Oschin Comprehensive Cancer Institute, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Atkins K; Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Department of Radiation Oncology, Los Angeles, California., Nissen NN; Department of Pancreatic and Biliary Surgery, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Li D; Biomedical Imaging Research Institute, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Pandol SJ; Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Lo SK; Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California., Gaddam S; Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California. Electronic address: srinivas.gaddam@cshs.org.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Gastroenterology [Gastroenterology] 2023 May; Vol. 164 (6), pp. 978-989.e6. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Feb 10.
DOI: 10.1053/j.gastro.2023.01.022
Abstrakt: Background & Aims: Previous studies have shown an increasing incidence of pancreatic cancer (PC), especially in younger women; however, this has not been externally validated. In addition, there are limited data about contributing factors to this trend. We report age and sex-specific time-trend analysis of PC age-adjusted incidence rates (aIRs) using the National Program of Cancer Registries database without Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results data.
Methods: PC aIR, mortality rates, annual percentage change, and average annual percentage change (AAPC) were calculated and assessed for parallelism and identicalness. Age-specific analyses were conducted in older (≥55 years) and younger (<55 years) adults. PC incidence based on demographics, tumor characteristics, and mortality were evaluated in younger adults.
Results: A total of 454,611 patients were diagnosed with PC between 2001 and 2018 with significantly increasing aIR in women (AAPC = 1.27%) and men (AAPC = 1.14%) without a difference (P = .37). Similar results were seen in older adults. However, in younger adults (53,051 cases; 42.9% women), women experienced a greater increase in aIR than men (AAPCs = 2.36%, P < .001 vs 0.62%, P = 0.62) with nonparallel trends (P < .001) and AAPC difference of 1.74% (P < .001). This AAPC difference appears to be due to rising aIR in Blacks (2.23%; P < .001), adenocarcinoma histopathologic subtype (0.89%; P = .003), and location in the head-of-pancreas (1.64%; P < .001). PC mortality was found to be unchanged in women but decreasing in counterpart men (AAPC difference = 0.54%; P = .001).
Conclusion: Using nationwide data, covering ≈64.5% of the U.S. population, we externally validate a rapidly increasing aIR of PC in younger women. There was a big separation of the incidence trend between women and men aged 15-34 years between 2001 and 2018 (>200% difference), and it did not show slowing down.
(Copyright © 2023 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
Databáze: MEDLINE