Migration is the driving force of rapid aging in Puerto Rico: A Research Brief.

Autor: Matos-Moreno A; Department of Epidemiology and Center for Social Epidemiology and Population Health, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.; Population Research Institute, Pennsylvania State University. University Park, PA., Santos-Lozada AR; Population Research Institute, Pennsylvania State University. University Park, PA.; Department of Human Development and Family Studies, Pennsylvania State University. University Park, PA., Mehta N; Department of Preventive Medicine & Population Health, School of Medicine, University of Texas Medical Branch. Galveston, TX., de Leon CFM; Department of Epidemiology and Center for Social Epidemiology and Population Health, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI., Lê-Scherban F; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Dornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University. Philadelphia, PA.; Drexel Urban Health Collaborative, Drexel University. Philadelphia, PA., De Lima Friche AA; Observatory for Urban Health in Belo Horizonte, School of Medicine, Federal University of Minas Gerais. Minas Gerais, BR.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Population research and policy review [Popul Res Policy Rev] 2022 Jun; Vol. 41 (3), pp. 801-810. Date of Electronic Publication: 2021 Oct 30.
DOI: 10.1007/s11113-021-09683-2
Abstrakt: The combined effects of declining fertility and increased longevity have accelerated population aging in different parts of the world. Unlike other countries, Puerto Rico is also experiencing unprecedented levels of working-age out-migration. The full impact of high out-migration on Puerto Rican demography is not fully understood. Placing Puerto Rico's aging process in an international context is useful in identifying the role out-migration is having on the accelerated aging of the Puerto Rican society. Using the World Population Prospects 2019 estimates, we compared the pattern of rapid aging found for Puerto Rico with the trajectories of six other countries with the highest population of 65+ in the World, Europe, and the Caribbean from 1960 to 2020. Prior to 2010, the aging process in Puerto Rico was comparable to the other countries. After 2010, the percent of the population over 65 years in Puerto Rico nearly doubled from 11% to 21%. The nearly doubling of the percent of older adults is not observed in any of the comparison countries. We find that the rapid aging of Puerto Rico, changing from a linear trend to an exponential one, is a result of accelerating levels of out-migration, which is concentrated in the working-age population.
Competing Interests: Conflict of Interest/Competing Interests: The authors have no conflict to disclose.
Databáze: MEDLINE
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