Paris Agreement requires substantial, broad, and sustained policy efforts beyond COVID-19 public stimulus packages.

Autor: Tanaka K; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE), IPSL, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.; Earth System Risk Analysis Section, Earth System Division, National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Japan., Azar C; Division of Physical Resource Theory, Department of Space, Earth, and Environment, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden., Boucher O; Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace (IPSL), Sorbonne Université / CNRS, Paris, France., Ciais P; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE), IPSL, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France., Gaucher Y; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE), IPSL, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France., Johansson DJA; Division of Physical Resource Theory, Department of Space, Earth, and Environment, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Climatic change [Clim Change] 2022; Vol. 172 (1-2), pp. 1. Date of Electronic Publication: 2022 May 02.
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-022-03355-6
Abstrakt: It has been claimed that COVID-19 public stimulus packages could be sufficient to meet the short-term energy investment needs to leverage a shift toward a pathway consistent with the 1.5 °C target of the Paris Agreement. Here, we provide complementary perspectives to reiterate that substantial, broad, and sustained policy efforts beyond stimulus packages will be needed for achieving the Paris Agreement long-term targets. Low-carbon investments will need to scale up and persist over the next several decades following short-term stimulus packages. The required total energy investments in the real world can be larger than the currently available estimates from integrated assessment models (IAMs). Existing databases from IAMs are not sufficient for analyzing the effect of public spending on emission reduction. To inform what role COVID-19 stimulus packages and public investments may play for reaching the Paris Agreement targets, explicit modelling of such policies is required.
Competing Interests: Conflict of interestK.T. is an Associate Deputy Editor of Climatic Change. His status has no bearing on editorial consideration. The other authors declare no competing interests.
(© The Author(s) 2022.)
Databáze: MEDLINE