Demographic variation in space and time: implications for conservation targeting.
Autor: | Morrison CA; School of Biological Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK., Butler SJ; School of Biological Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK., Clark JA; British Trust for Ornithology, The Nunnery, Thetford IP24 2PU, UK., Arizaga J; Department of Ornithology, Aranzadi Sciences Society, Zorroagagaina 11, E20014 Donostia, Spain., Baltà O; Catalan Ornithological Institute, Nat-Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona, Pl. Leonardo da Vinci, 4-5 08019 Barcelona, Spain., Cepák J; Bird Ringing Centre, National Museum, Hornoměcholupská 34, CZ-10200 10 Praha, Czech Republic., Nebot AL; SEO/BirdLife, Ciencia Ciudadana, C/Melquiades Biencinto, 34 - 28053 Madrid, Spain., Piha M; Finnish Museum of Natural History - LUOMUS, P. O. Box 17, FI-00014 University of Helsinki, Finland., Thorup K; Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark., Wenninger T; Swedish Museum of Natural History, Bird Ringing Centre, Box 50007, S-104 05 Stockholm, Sweden., Robinson RA; British Trust for Ornithology, The Nunnery, Thetford IP24 2PU, UK., Gill JA; School of Biological Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK. |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Zdroj: | Royal Society open science [R Soc Open Sci] 2022 Mar 30; Vol. 9 (3), pp. 211671. Date of Electronic Publication: 2022 Mar 30 (Print Publication: 2022). |
DOI: | 10.1098/rsos.211671 |
Abstrakt: | The dynamics of wild populations are governed by demographic rates which vary spatially and/or temporally in response to environmental conditions. Conservation actions for widespread but declining populations could potentially exploit this variation to target locations (or years) in which rates are low, but only if consistent spatial or temporal variation in demographic rates occurs. Using long-term demographic data for wild birds across Europe, we show that productivity tends to vary between sites (consistently across years), while survival rates tend to vary between years (consistently across sites), and that spatial synchrony is more common in survival than productivity. Identifying the conditions associated with low demographic rates could therefore facilitate spatially targeted actions to improve productivity or (less feasibly) forecasting and temporally targeting actions to boost survival. Decomposing spatio-temporal variation in demography can thus be a powerful tool for informing conservation policy and for revealing appropriate scales for actions to influence demographic rates. Competing Interests: We declare we have no competing interests. (© 2022 The Authors.) |
Databáze: | MEDLINE |
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