Machine Learning-Based Risk Prediction of Critical Care Unit Admission for Advanced Stage High Grade Serous Ovarian Cancer Patients Undergoing Cytoreductive Surgery: The Leeds-Natal Score.

Autor: Laios A; Department of Gynaecologic Oncology, St James's University Hospital, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK., De Oliveira Silva RV; Department of Chemistry, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal CEP 59078-970, Brazil., Dantas De Freitas DL; Department of Chemistry, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal CEP 59078-970, Brazil., Tan YS; Department of Gynaecologic Oncology, St James's University Hospital, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK., Saalmink G; Department of Gynaecologic Oncology, St James's University Hospital, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK., Zubayraeva A; Department of Gynaecologic Oncology, St James's University Hospital, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK., Johnson R; Department of Gynaecologic Oncology, St James's University Hospital, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK., Kaufmann A; Department of Gynaecologic Oncology, St James's University Hospital, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK., Otify M; Department of Gynaecologic Oncology, St James's University Hospital, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK., Hutson R; Department of Gynaecologic Oncology, St James's University Hospital, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK., Thangavelu A; Department of Gynaecologic Oncology, St James's University Hospital, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK., Broadhead T; Department of Gynaecologic Oncology, St James's University Hospital, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK., Nugent D; Department of Gynaecologic Oncology, St James's University Hospital, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK., Theophilou G; Department of Gynaecologic Oncology, St James's University Hospital, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK., Gomes de Lima KM; Department of Chemistry, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal CEP 59078-970, Brazil., De Jong D; Department of Gynaecologic Oncology, St James's University Hospital, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Journal of clinical medicine [J Clin Med] 2021 Dec 24; Vol. 11 (1). Date of Electronic Publication: 2021 Dec 24.
DOI: 10.3390/jcm11010087
Abstrakt: Achieving complete surgical cytoreduction in advanced stage high grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) patients warrants an availability of Critical Care Unit (CCU) beds. Machine Learning (ML) could be helpful in monitoring CCU admissions to improve standards of care. We aimed to improve the accuracy of predicting CCU admission in HGSOC patients by ML algorithms and developed an ML-based predictive score. A cohort of 291 advanced stage HGSOC patients with fully curated data was selected. Several linear and non-linear distances, and quadratic discriminant ML methods, were employed to derive prediction information for CCU admission. When all the variables were included in the model, the prediction accuracies were higher for linear discriminant (0.90) and quadratic discriminant (0.93) methods compared with conventional logistic regression (0.84). Feature selection identified pre-treatment albumin, surgical complexity score, estimated blood loss, operative time, and bowel resection with stoma as the most significant prediction features. The real-time prediction accuracy of the Graphical User Interface CCU calculator reached 95%. Limited, potentially modifiable, mostly intra-operative factors contributing to CCU admission were identified and suggest areas for targeted interventions. The accurate quantification of CCU admission patterns is critical information when counseling patients about peri-operative risks related to their cytoreductive surgery.
Databáze: MEDLINE
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