Making spatial-temporal marine ecosystem modelling better - A perspective.

Autor: Steenbeek J; Ecopath International Initiative, Barcelona, Spain., Buszowski J; Ecopath International Initiative, Barcelona, Spain., Chagaris D; University of Florida, Cedar Key, FL, USA., Christensen V; Ecopath International Initiative, Barcelona, Spain.; Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries, University of British Columbia, Vancouver BC, Canada., Coll M; Ecopath International Initiative, Barcelona, Spain.; Institute of Marine Science, ICM-CSIC, Barcelona, Spain., Fulton EA; CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Australia.; Centre for Marine Socioecology, University of Tasmania, Australia., Katsanevakis S; Department of Marine Sciences, University of the Aegean, Mytilene, Greece., Lewis KA; University of Central Florida, National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Department of Biology, Orlando, FL, USA., Mazaris AD; Department of Ecology, School of Biology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece., Macias D; Institute of Marine Sciences of Andalusia, ICMAN-CSIC, Cadiz, Spain., de Mutsert K; The University of Southern Mississippi, Gulf Coast Research Laboratory, Ocean Springs, MS, USA., Oldford G; Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries, University of British Columbia, Vancouver BC, Canada.; Department of Fisheries and Oceans, Vancouver BC, Canada., Pennino MG; Instituto Español de Oceanografía, Vigo, Spain., Piroddi C; European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy., Romagnoni G; Leibniz Centre for Tropical Marine Research (ZMT), Bremen, Germany.; COISPA Tecnologia e Ricerca, Bari, Italy., Serpetti N; European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy.; National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics - OGS, Trieste, Italy., Shin YJ; MARBEC Université Montpellier, IRD, IFREMER, CNRS, Montpellier, France., Spence MA; Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, UK., Stelzenmüller V; Thünen Institute of Sea Fisheries, Bremerhaven, Germany.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Environmental modelling & software : with environment data news [Environ Model Softw] 2021 Nov; Vol. 145, pp. 105209.
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.105209
Abstrakt: Marine Ecosystem Models (MEMs) provide a deeper understanding of marine ecosystem dynamics. The United Nations Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development has highlighted the need to deploy these complex mechanistic spatial-temporal models to engage policy makers and society into dialogues towards sustainably managed oceans. From our shared perspective, MEMs remain underutilized because they still lack formal validation, calibration, and uncertainty quantifications that undermines their credibility and uptake in policy arenas. We explore why these shortcomings exist and how to enable the global modelling community to increase MEMs' usefulness. We identify a clear gap between proposed solutions to assess model skills, uncertainty, and confidence and their actual systematic deployment. We attribute this gap to an underlying factor that the ecosystem modelling literature largely ignores: technical issues. We conclude by proposing a conceptual solution that is cost-effective, scalable and simple, because complex spatial-temporal marine ecosystem modelling is already complicated enough.
Competing Interests: The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
(© 2021 The Author(s).)
Databáze: MEDLINE
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