The influence of passenger air traffic on the spread of COVID-19 in the world.
| Autor: | Sokadjo YM; Université d'Abomey-Calavi/International Chair in Mathematical Physics and Applications (ICMPA: UNESCO-Chair), 072 BP 50 Cotonou, Benin., Atchadé MN; National Higher School of Mathematics Genius and Modelization, National University of Sciences, Technologies, Engineering and Mathematics, Abomey, Benin. |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Zdroj: | Transportation research interdisciplinary perspectives [Transp Res Interdiscip Perspect] 2020 Nov; Vol. 8, pp. 100213. Date of Electronic Publication: 2020 Sep 08. |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.trip.2020.100213 |
| Abstrakt: | Countries in the world are suffering from COVID-19 and would like to control it. Thus, some authorities voted for new policies and even stopped passenger air traffic. Those decisions were not uniform, and this study focuses on how passenger air traffic might influence the spread of COVID-19 in the world. We used data sets of cases from the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University and air transport (passengers carried) from the World Bank. Besides, we computed Poisson, QuasiPoisson, Negative binomial, zero-inflated Poisson, and zero-inflated negative binomial models with cross-validation to make sure that our findings are robust. Actually, when passenger air traffic increases by one unit, the number of cases increases by one new infection. Competing Interests: None. (© 2020 The Author(s).) |
| Databáze: | MEDLINE |
| Externí odkaz: |
|