Nothing in Evolution Makes Sense Except in the Light of Biology.
Autor: | Reiskind MOB; Department of Biological Sciences and the director of the Genetic and Genomic Scholars graduate program, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, United States., Moody ML; Department of Biological Sciences and director of Herbarium UTEP, University of Texas, El Paso, El Paso, Texas, United States., Bolnick DI; University of Connecticut, Mansfield, Connecticut, United States, and editor-in-chief of The American Naturalist, Chicago, Illinois, United States., Hanifin CT; Utah State University, Logan, Utah, United States., Farrior CE; University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, United States, The author order was determined by a random number generator. |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Zdroj: | Bioscience [Bioscience] 2021 Feb 03; Vol. 71 (4), pp. 370-382. Date of Electronic Publication: 2021 Feb 03 (Print Publication: 2021). |
DOI: | 10.1093/biosci/biaa170 |
Abstrakt: | A key question in biology is the predictability of the evolutionary process. If we can correctly predict the outcome of evolution, we may be better equipped to anticipate and manage species' adaptation to climate change, habitat loss, invasive species, or emerging infectious diseases, as well as improve our basic understanding of the history of life on Earth. In the present article, we ask the questions when, why, and if the outcome of future evolution is predictable. We first define predictable and then discuss two conflicting views: that evolution is inherently unpredictable and that evolution is predictable given the ability to collect the right data. We identify factors that generate unpredictability, the data that might be required to make predictions at some level of precision or at a specific timescale, and the intellectual and translational value of understanding when prediction is or is not possible. (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Institute of Biological Sciences.) |
Databáze: | MEDLINE |
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