Case fatality risk of the SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern B.1.1.7 in England, 16 November to 5 February.

Autor: Grint DJ; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Wing K; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Williamson E; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., McDonald HI; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Bhaskaran K; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Evans D; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Evans SJ; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Walker AJ; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Hickman G; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Nightingale E; Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Schultze A; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Rentsch CT; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Bates C; The Phoenix Partnership (TPP), TPP House, Leeds, United Kingdom., Cockburn J; The Phoenix Partnership (TPP), TPP House, Leeds, United Kingdom., Curtis HJ; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Morton CE; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Bacon S; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Davy S; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Wong AY; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Mehrkar A; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Tomlinson L; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Douglas IJ; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Mathur R; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Blomquist P; COVID-19 Outbreak Surveillance Team, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom., MacKenna B; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Ingelsby P; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Croker R; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Parry J; The Phoenix Partnership (TPP), TPP House, Leeds, United Kingdom., Hester F; The Phoenix Partnership (TPP), TPP House, Leeds, United Kingdom., Harper S; The Phoenix Partnership (TPP), TPP House, Leeds, United Kingdom., DeVito NJ; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Hulme W; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Tazare J; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Goldacre B; The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.; These authors contributed equally., Smeeth L; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.; These authors contributed equally., Eggo RM; Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.; These authors contributed equally.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin [Euro Surveill] 2021 Mar; Vol. 26 (11).
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.11.2100256
Abstrakt: The SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant of concern (VOC) is increasing in prevalence across Europe. Accurate estimation of disease severity associated with this VOC is critical for pandemic planning. We found increased risk of death for VOC compared with non-VOC cases in England (hazard ratio: 1.67; 95% confidence interval: 1.34-2.09; p < 0.0001). Absolute risk of death by 28 days increased with age and comorbidities. This VOC has potential to spread faster with higher mortality than the pandemic to date.
Databáze: MEDLINE