Assessing the eco-effectiveness of a solid waste management plan using agent-based modelling.

Autor: de Souza VM; Academic Department of Mechanics, Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná (UTFPR), Campus Cornélio Procópio, Brazil. Electronic address: vsouza@utfpr.edu.br., Bloemhof J; Operations Research and Logistics Group, Wageningen University and Research, the Netherlands., Borsato M; Postgraduate Programme in Mechanical and Materials Engineering (PPGEM), Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná (UTFPR), Campus Curitiba, Brazil.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Waste management (New York, N.Y.) [Waste Manag] 2021 Apr 15; Vol. 125, pp. 235-248. Date of Electronic Publication: 2021 Mar 09.
DOI: 10.1016/j.wasman.2021.02.019
Abstrakt: Municipal Solid Waste Management is yet to be eco-effectively performed, especially in developing countries. In Brazil, a considerable fraction of waste has been improperly landfilled, generating environmental, social and economic problems. In 2018, the government of the state of Paraná released a revised version of its waste management plan, defining improvement strategies to be gradually implemented until 2038. However, these strategies' eco-effectiveness has not been forecasted, nor the plan was deployed to the regional level. This research aims to fill this gap, downscaling the plan to the region of Norte Pioneiro, simulating its implementation and monitoring environmental and economic benefits. The dynamics of waste generation, collection and disposal are investigated using an agent-based model, considering the four population growth scenarios addressed in the plan. Targets for strategies of waste reduction, collection, source-separation and charging of waste fees are modelled. Multiple simulation runs were performed and outputs assessed and discussed. Results show that, if the plan is thoroughly implemented since 2020, at least 650 kilotons of avoided CO 2eq emissions and US$ 40 million in avoided expenditures can be achieved in the most conservative scenario by 2038. Implications from the strategies proposed in the plan are highlighted, and recommendations to improve the plan's eco-effectiveness are outlined.
Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
(Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
Databáze: MEDLINE