The alteration of the suitability patterns of Leishmania infantum due to climate change in Iran.

Autor: Trájer AJ; Sustainability Solutions Research Lab, University of Pannonia, Veszprém, Hungary.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: International journal of environmental health research [Int J Environ Health Res] 2022 Jul; Vol. 32 (7), pp. 1567-1580. Date of Electronic Publication: 2021 Mar 08.
DOI: 10.1080/09603123.2021.1897535
Abstrakt: Leishmaniasis is the most important parasitic infection in Iran. The aim of this study was to model the changing suitability patterns of Leishmania infantum , the causative agent of visceral leishmaniasis for the 21 st century in the country. Temperature, precipitation, and aridity-nature distribution limiting bioclimatic variables were involved in the ecological modelling. The altitudinal trends were considered by using 100 m bars. In Iran, the topographical patterns strongly impact the changing patterns of the suitability of L. infantum due to climate change. In general, climate change will decrease the parasite's suitability in the areas at low altitudes and increase in the middle and higher elevation regions. Increasing values are mainly predicted in the West, the decreasing suitability values in the East part of Iran. The altitudinal shifts and the reduced spatial distribution of L. infantum in the arid regions of East and Central Iran were modelled.
Databáze: MEDLINE
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