Risk for African Swine Fever Introduction Into Kazakhstan.

Autor:	Schettino DN; Department of Veterinary Population Medicine, Center for Animal Health and Food Safety, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, United States., Abdrakhmanov SK; Saken Seifullin Kazakh Agrotechnical University, Nur-Sultan, Kazakhstan., Beisembayev KK; Saken Seifullin Kazakh Agrotechnical University, Nur-Sultan, Kazakhstan., Korennoy FI; FGBI 'Federal Centre for Animal Health' (FGBI 'ARRIAH'), Vladimir, Russia., Sultanov AA; Kazakh Scientific Research Veterinary Institute, Almaty, Kazakhstan., Mukhanbetkaliyev YY; Saken Seifullin Kazakh Agrotechnical University, Nur-Sultan, Kazakhstan., Kadyrov AS; Saken Seifullin Kazakh Agrotechnical University, Nur-Sultan, Kazakhstan., Perez AM; Department of Veterinary Population Medicine, Center for Animal Health and Food Safety, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, United States.
Jazyk:	angličtina
Zdroj:	Frontiers in veterinary science [Front Vet Sci] 2021 Feb 11; Vol. 8, pp. 605910. Date of Electronic Publication: 2021 Feb 11 (Print Publication: 2021).
DOI:	10.3389/fvets.2021.605910
Abstrakt:	African swine fever (ASF) is a disease of swine that is endemic to some African countries and that has rapidly spread since 2007 through many regions of Asia and Europe, becoming endemic in some areas of those continents. Since there is neither vaccine nor treatment for ASF, prevention is an important action to avoid the economic losses that this disease can impose on a country. Although the Republic of Kazakhstan has remained free from the disease, some of its neighbors have become ASF-infected, raising concerns about the potential introduction of the disease into the country. Here, we have identified clusters of districts in Kazakhstan at highest risk for ASF introduction. Questionnaires were administered, and districts were visited to collect and document, for the first time, at the district level, the distribution of swine operations and population in Kazakhstan. A snowball sampling approach was used to identify ASF experts worldwide, and a conjoint analysis model was used to elicit their opinion in relation to the extent at which relevant epidemiological factors influence the risk for ASF introduction into disease-free regions. The resulting model was validated using data from the Russian Federation and Mongolia. Finally, the validated model was used to rank and categorize Kazakhstani districts in terms of the risk for serving as the point of entry for ASF into the country, and clusters of districts at highest risk of introduction were identified using the normal model of the spatial scan statistic. Results here will help to allocate resources for surveillance and prevention activities aimed at early detecting a hypothetical ASF introduction into Kazakhstan, ultimately helping to protect the sanitary status of the country. Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. (Copyright © 2021 Schettino, Abdrakhmanov, Beisembayev, Korennoy, Sultanov, Mukhanbetkaliyev, Kadyrov and Perez.)
Databáze:	MEDLINE
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