Epidemiological profile and transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in the Philippines.

Autor: Haw NJL; Health Sciences Program, School of Science and Engineering, Ateneo de Manila University, Quezon City, Philippines., Uy J; Health Sciences Program, School of Science and Engineering, Ateneo de Manila University, Quezon City, Philippines.; Philippine Institute for Development Studies, Makati City, Philippines., Sy KTL; Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, USA.; Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, USA., Abrigo MRM; Philippine Institute for Development Studies, Makati City, Philippines.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Epidemiology and infection [Epidemiol Infect] 2020 Sep 15; Vol. 148, pp. e204. Date of Electronic Publication: 2020 Sep 15.
DOI: 10.1017/S0950268820002137
Abstrakt: The Philippines confirmed local transmission of COVID-19 on 7 March 2020. We described the characteristics and epidemiological time-to-event distributions for laboratory-confirmed cases in the Philippines recorded up to 29 April 2020 and followed until 22 May 2020. The median age of 8212 cases was 46 years (IQR 32-61), with 46.2% being female and 68.8% living in the National Capital Region. Health care workers represented 24.7% of all detected infections. Mean length of hospitalisation for those who were discharged or died were 16.00 days (95% CI 15.48-16.54) and 7.27 days (95% CI 6.59-8.24). Mean duration of illness was 26.66 days (95% CI 26.06-27.28) and 12.61 days (95% CI 11.88-13.37) for those who recovered or died. Mean serial interval was 6.90 days (95% CI 5.81-8.41). Epidemic doubling time prior to the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ; 11 February and 19 March) was 4.86 days (95% CI 4.67-5.07) and the reproductive number was 2.41 (95% CI 2.33-2.48). During the ECQ (20 March to 9 April), doubling time was 12.97 days (95% CI 12.57-13.39) and the reproductive number was 0.89 (95% CI 0.78-1.02).
Databáze: MEDLINE