Disclosing progress in cancer survival with less delay.

Autor: Jansen L; Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany., Schröder CC; Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany., Emrich K; Cancer Registry of Rhineland-Palatinate, Institute for Medical Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Informatics, University Medical Center, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, Mainz, Germany., Holleczek B; Saarland Cancer Registry, Saarbrücken, Germany., Pritzkuleit R; Cancer Registry of Schleswig-Holstein, Lübeck, Germany., Brenner H; Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.; Division of Preventive Oncology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), and National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT), Heidelberg, Germany.; German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: International journal of cancer [Int J Cancer] 2020 Aug 01; Vol. 147 (3), pp. 838-846. Date of Electronic Publication: 2019 Dec 13.
DOI: 10.1002/ijc.32816
Abstrakt: Cancer registration plays a key role in monitoring the burden of cancer. However, cancer registry (CR) data are usually made available with substantial delay to ensure best possible completeness of case ascertainment. Here, we investigate empirically with routinely available data whether such a delay is mandatory for survival analyses or whether data can be used earlier to provide more up-to-date survival estimates. We compared distributions of prognostic factors and period relative survival estimates for three population-based CRs in Germany (Schleswig-Holstein (SH), Rhineland-Palatinate (RP), Saarland (SA)) computed on datasets extracted one (DY+1) to 5 years after the year of diagnosis (DY+5; reference). Analyses were conducted for seven cancer sites and various survival analyses scenarios. The proportion of patients registered in the datasets at a given time varied strongly across registries with 57% (SH), 2% (RP) and 26% (SA) registered in DY+1 and >93% in all registries in DY+3. Five-year survival estimates for the most recent three-year period were comparable to estimates from the reference dataset already in DY+1 (mean absolute deviations = 0.2-0.6% units). Deviations >1% units were only observed for pancreatic and lung cancer in RP and leukemia in SA (all ≤1.5% units). For estimates of 1-year survival based on the most recent 1-year period only, slightly longer delays were required, but reasonable estimates were still obtained after 1-2 years, depending on the CR and cancer site. Thus, progress in cancer survival could be disclosed in a more timely manner than commonly practiced despite delays in completeness of registration.
(© 2019 The Authors. International Journal of Cancer published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of UICC.)
Databáze: MEDLINE