Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein.

Autor: Asseng S; Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida., Martre P; LEPSE, Université Montpellier INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, Montpellier, France., Maiorano A; LEPSE, Université Montpellier INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, Montpellier, France., Rötter RP; Tropical Plant Production and Agricultural Systems Modelling (TROPAGS), University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.; Centre of Biodiversity and Sustainable Land Use (CBL), University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany., O'Leary GJ; Department of Economic Development Jobs, Transport and Resources, Grains Innovation Park, Agriculture Victoria Research, Horsham, Victoria, Australia., Fitzgerald GJ; Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and Resources, Agriculture Victoria Research, Horsham, Victoria, Australia.; Faculty of Veterinary and Agricultural Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Creswick, Victoria, Australia., Girousse C; UMR GDEC, INRA, Université Clermont Auvergne, Clermont-Ferrand, France., Motzo R; Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Sassari, Sassari, Italy., Giunta F; Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Sassari, Sassari, Italy., Babar MA; World Food Crops Breeding, Department of Agronomy, IFAS, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida., Reynolds MP; CIMMYT Int, Mexico D.F, Mexico., Kheir AMS; Soils, Water and Environment Research Institute, Agricultural Research Center, Giza, Egypt., Thorburn PJ; CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia., Waha K; CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia., Ruane AC; NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York., Aggarwal PK; CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security, BISA-CIMMYT, New Delhi, India., Ahmed M; Biological Systems Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington.; Department of Agronomy, Pir Mehr Ali Shah Arid Agriculture University, Rawalpindi, Pakistan., Balkovič J; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Laxenburg, Austria.; Department of Soil Science, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Comenius University in Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovakia., Basso B; Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan.; W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan., Biernath C; Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany., Bindi M; Department of Agri-food Production and Environmental Sciences (DISPAA), University of Florence, Florence, Italy., Cammarano D; James Hutton Institute, Dundee, Scotland, UK., Challinor AJ; Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.; Collaborative Research Program from CGIAR and Future Earth on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), International Centre for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Cali, Colombia., De Sanctis G; GMO Unit, European Food Safety Authority, Parma, Italy., Dumont B; Department Terra & AgroBioChem, Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech, University of Liege, Gembloux, Belgium., Eyshi Rezaei E; Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation INRES, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.; Department of Crop Sciences, University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany., Fereres E; IAS-CSIC, University of Cordoba, Cordoba, Spain., Ferrise R; Department of Agri-food Production and Environmental Sciences (DISPAA), University of Florence, Florence, Italy., Garcia-Vila M; IAS-CSIC, University of Cordoba, Cordoba, Spain., Gayler S; Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany., Gao Y; Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida., Horan H; CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia., Hoogenboom G; Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida.; Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida., Izaurralde RC; Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland.; Texas A&M AgriLife Research and Extension Center, Texas A&M University, Temple, Texas., Jabloun M; Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, Tjele, Denmark., Jones CD; Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland., Kassie BT; Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida., Kersebaum KC; Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, Müncheberg, Germany., Klein C; Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany., Koehler AK; Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK., Liu B; Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida.; National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, China., Minoli S; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany., Montesino San Martin M; Plant & Environment Sciences, University Copenhagen, Taastrup, Denmark., Müller C; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany., Naresh Kumar S; Centre for Environment Science and Climate Resilient Agriculture, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, IARI PUSA, New Delhi, India., Nendel C; Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, Müncheberg, Germany., Olesen JE; Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, Tjele, Denmark., Palosuo T; Montpellier SupAgro, INRA, CIHEAM-IAMM, CIRAD, University Montpellier, Montpellier, France., Porter JR; Plant & Environment Sciences, University Copenhagen, Taastrup, Denmark.; Lincoln University, Lincoln, New Zealand.; Montpellier SupAgro, INRA, CIHEAM-IAMM, CIRAD, University Montpellier, Montpellier, France., Priesack E; Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany., Ripoche D; US AgroClim, INRA, Paris, France., Semenov MA; Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, UK., Stöckle C; Biological Systems Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington., Stratonovitch P; Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, UK., Streck T; Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany., Supit I; Water & Food and Water Systems & Global Change Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands., Tao F; Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Helsinki, Finland.; Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, China., Van der Velde M; Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Ispra, Italy., Wallach D; INRA UMR AGIR, Castanet-Tolosan, France., Wang E; CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia., Webber H; Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation INRES, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.; Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, Müncheberg, Germany., Wolf J; Plant Production Systems, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands., Xiao L; National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, China., Zhang Z; State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China., Zhao Z; CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.; Department of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing, China., Zhu Y; National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, China., Ewert F; Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation INRES, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.; Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, Müncheberg, Germany.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Global change biology [Glob Chang Biol] 2019 Jan; Vol. 25 (1), pp. 155-173. Date of Electronic Publication: 2018 Nov 22.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14481
Abstrakt: Wheat grain protein concentration is an important determinant of wheat quality for human nutrition that is often overlooked in efforts to improve crop production. We tested and applied a 32-multi-model ensemble to simulate global wheat yield and quality in a changing climate. Potential benefits of elevated atmospheric CO 2 concentration by 2050 on global wheat grain and protein yield are likely to be negated by impacts from rising temperature and changes in rainfall, but with considerable disparities between regions. Grain and protein yields are expected to be lower and more variable in most low-rainfall regions, with nitrogen availability limiting growth stimulus from elevated CO 2 . Introducing genotypes adapted to warmer temperatures (and also considering changes in CO 2 and rainfall) could boost global wheat yield by 7% and protein yield by 2%, but grain protein concentration would be reduced by -1.1 percentage points, representing a relative change of -8.6%. Climate change adaptations that benefit grain yield are not always positive for grain quality, putting additional pressure on global wheat production.
(© 2018 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
Databáze: MEDLINE