Development of a Multivariate Prediction Model for Early-Onset Bronchiolitis Obliterans Syndrome and Restrictive Allograft Syndrome in Lung Transplantation.
Autor: | Koutsokera A; Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois (CHUV), University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland., Royer PJ; Institut du thorax, INSERM UMR 1087/CNRS UMR 6291, CHU de Nantes, Université de Nantes, Nantes, France., Antonietti JP; Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois (CHUV), University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland., Fritz A; Biomax Informatics AG, Planegg, Germany., Benden C; Division of Pulmonary Medicine, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland., Aubert JD; Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois (CHUV), University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland., Tissot A; Institut du thorax, INSERM UMR 1087/CNRS UMR 6291, CHU de Nantes, Université de Nantes, Nantes, France., Botturi K; Institut du thorax, INSERM UMR 1087/CNRS UMR 6291, CHU de Nantes, Université de Nantes, Nantes, France., Roux A; Pneumology, Adult CF Center and Lung transplantation Department, Foch Hospital, Université Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, UPRES EA220, Suresnes, France., Reynaud-Gaubert ML; Pulmonary Medicine, CF Center and Lung Transplantation Department, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Nord, CNRS UMR 6236 Aix-Marseille Université, Marseille, France., Kessler R; Lung Transplant Center, Hôpitaux universitaires de Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France., Dromer C; Service des Maladies respiratoires, Hôpital Haut Lévèque, Pessac, France., Mussot S; Service de Chirurgie Thoracique, Vasculaire et Transplantation Cardiopulmonaire, Hôpital Marie Lannelongue, Le Plessis Robinson, France., Mal H; Service de Pneumologie et Transplantation pulmonaire, Hôpital Bichat, Université Denis Diderot, INSERM UMR1152, Paris, France., Mornex JF; Université de Lyon, INRA UMR 754, Hospices civils de Lyon, Lyon, France., Guillemain R; Assistance Publique Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France., Knoop C; Department of Chest Medicine, Erasme University Hospital, Brussels, Belgium., Dahan M; CHU Larrey, Toulouse, France., Soccal PM; Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland., Claustre J; Clinique Universitaire de Pneumologie, Pôle Thorax et Vaisseaux, CHU Grenoble, INSERM 1055, Université Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble, France., Sage E; Thoracic Surgery Department, Foch Hospital, Université Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, UPRES EA220, Suresnes, France., Gomez C; Pulmonary Medicine, CF Center and Lung Transplantation Department, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Nord, CNRS UMR 6236 Aix-Marseille Université, Marseille, France., Magnan A; Institut du thorax, INSERM UMR 1087/CNRS UMR 6291, CHU de Nantes, Université de Nantes, Nantes, France., Pison C; Clinique Universitaire de Pneumologie, Pôle Thorax et Vaisseaux, CHU Grenoble, INSERM 1055, Université Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble, France., Nicod LP; Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois (CHUV), University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland. |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Zdroj: | Frontiers in medicine [Front Med (Lausanne)] 2017 Jul 17; Vol. 4, pp. 109. Date of Electronic Publication: 2017 Jul 17 (Print Publication: 2017). |
DOI: | 10.3389/fmed.2017.00109 |
Abstrakt: | Background: Chronic lung allograft dysfunction and its main phenotypes, bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS) and restrictive allograft syndrome (RAS), are major causes of mortality after lung transplantation (LT). RAS and early-onset BOS, developing within 3 years after LT, are associated with particularly inferior clinical outcomes. Prediction models for early-onset BOS and RAS have not been previously described. Methods: LT recipients of the French and Swiss transplant cohorts were eligible for inclusion in the SysCLAD cohort if they were alive with at least 2 years of follow-up but less than 3 years, or if they died or were retransplanted at any time less than 3 years. These patients were assessed for early-onset BOS, RAS, or stable allograft function by an adjudication committee. Baseline characteristics, data on surgery, immunosuppression, and year-1 follow-up were collected. Prediction models for BOS and RAS were developed using multivariate logistic regression and multivariate multinomial analysis. Results: Among patients fulfilling the eligibility criteria, we identified 149 stable, 51 BOS, and 30 RAS subjects. The best prediction model for early-onset BOS and RAS included the underlying diagnosis, induction treatment, immunosuppression, and year-1 class II donor-specific antibodies (DSAs). Within this model, class II DSAs were associated with BOS and RAS, whereas pre-LT diagnoses of interstitial lung disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were associated with RAS. Conclusion: Although these findings need further validation, results indicate that specific baseline and year-1 parameters may serve as predictors of BOS or RAS by 3 years post-LT. Their identification may allow intervention or guide risk stratification, aiming for an individualized patient management approach. |
Databáze: | MEDLINE |
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