First-Line Chemotherapy for Metastatic Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Clinico-Biological Predictors of Disease Control.

Autor: Kotecki N; Centre Oscar Lambret, Lille, France., Hiret S, Etienne PL, Penel N, Tresch E, François E, Galais MP, Ben Abdelghani M, Michel P, Dahan L, Ghiringelli F, Bedenne L, Samalin E, Piessen G, Bennouna J, Peugniez C, El Hajbi F, Clisant S, Kramar A, Mariette C, Adenis A
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Oncology [Oncology] 2016; Vol. 90 (2), pp. 88-96. Date of Electronic Publication: 2016 Jan 20.
DOI: 10.1159/000442947
Abstrakt: Objective: This study aimed to identify predictors of tumor control (TC) in metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients receiving first-line chemotherapy.
Methods: A development cohort of 68 patients from a prospective multicenter trial (NCT01248299) was used to identify predictors of TC at first radiological tumor assessment and to generate a predictive score for TC. That score was applied in an independent retrospective single-center validation cohort of 60 consecutive patients.
Results: Multivariate analysis identified three predictors of TC: body mass index ≥18.5 (OR 4.5, 95% CI 0.91-22.5), absence of bone metastasis (OR 4.6, 95% CI 0.91-23.2) and albumin ≥35 g/l (OR 3.5, 95% CI 1.0-12.1). Based on the presence or absence of these three independent prognosticators, we built a predictive model using a score from 0 to 3. In the development cohort, the TC rates were 14.3 and 78.0% and in the validation cohort 12.5 and 44.2%, for scores of 0-1 and 2-3, respectively. With negative predictive values of 85 and 88% in the development and validation cohorts, respectively, we were able to identify patients with a very low probability of TC.
Conclusion: We have developed and validated a score that can be easily determined at the bedside to predict TC in metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients.
(© 2016 S. Karger AG, Basel.)
Databáze: MEDLINE