National health expenditure projections, 2014-24: spending growth faster than recent trends.
Autor: | Keehan SP; Sean P. Keehan (sean.keehan@cms.hhs.gov) is an economist in the Office of the Actuary at the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), in Baltimore, Maryland., Cuckler GA; Gigi A. Cuckler is an economist in the CMS Office of the Actuary., Sisko AM; Andrea M. Sisko is an economist in the CMS Office of the Actuary., Madison AJ; Andrew J. Madison is an actuary in the CMS Office of the Actuary., Smith SD; Sheila D. Smith is an economist in the CMS Office of the Actuary., Stone DA; Devin A. Stone is an economist in the CMS Office of the Actuary., Poisal JA; John A. Poisal is deputy director of the National Health Statistics Group, CMS Office of the Actuary., Wolfe CJ; Christian J. Wolfe is an actuary in the CMS Office of the Actuary., Lizonitz JM; Joseph M. Lizonitz is an actuary in the CMS Office of the Actuary. |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Zdroj: | Health affairs (Project Hope) [Health Aff (Millwood)] 2015 Aug; Vol. 34 (8), pp. 1407-17. |
DOI: | 10.1377/hlthaff.2015.0600 |
Abstrakt: | Health spending growth in the United States is projected to average 5.8 percent for 2014-24, reflecting the Affordable Care Act's coverage expansions, faster economic growth, and population aging. Recent historically low growth rates in the use of medical goods and services, as well as medical prices, are expected to gradually increase. However, in part because of the impact of continued cost-sharing increases that are anticipated among health plans, the acceleration of these growth rates is expected to be modest. The health share of US gross domestic product is projected to rise from 17.4 percent in 2013 to 19.6 percent in 2024. (Project HOPE—The People-to-People Health Foundation, Inc.) |
Databáze: | MEDLINE |
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