An empirical assessment of fixed and random parameter logit models using crash- and non-crash-specific injury data.

Autor: Ch Anastasopoulos P; School of Civil Engineering, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907-2051, United States. panast@purdue.edu, Mannering FL
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Accident; analysis and prevention [Accid Anal Prev] 2011 May; Vol. 43 (3), pp. 1140-7. Date of Electronic Publication: 2011 Jan 08.
DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2010.12.024
Abstrakt: Traditional crash-severity modeling uses detailed data gathered after a crash has occurred (number of vehicles involved, age of occupants, weather conditions at the time of the crash, types of vehicles involved, crash type, occupant restraint use, airbag deployment, etc.) to predict the level of occupant injury. However, for prediction purposes, the use of such detailed data makes assessing the impact of alternate safety countermeasures exceedingly difficult due to the large number of variables that need to be known. Using 5-year data from interstate highways in Indiana, this study explores fixed and random parameter statistical models using detailed crash-specific data and data that include the injury outcome of the crash but not other detailed crash-specific data (only more general data are used such as roadway geometrics, pavement condition and general weather and traffic characteristics). The analysis shows that, while models that do not use detailed crash-specific data do not perform as well as those that do, random parameter models using less detailed data still can provide a reasonable level of accuracy.
(Copyright © 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
Databáze: MEDLINE
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