| Autor: |
Chin J; Global Programme on AIDS, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland., Lwanga SK |
| Jazyk: |
angličtina |
| Zdroj: |
Bulletin of the World Health Organization [Bull World Health Organ] 1991; Vol. 69 (4), pp. 399-406. |
| Abstrakt: |
Many HIV/AIDS (acquired immunodeficiency syndrome) models have been developed to help our understanding of the dynamics and interrelationships of the determinants of HIV (human immunodeficiency virus) spread and/or to develop reliable estimates of the eventual extent of such spread. These models range from very simple to very complex. WHO has developed a simple model for short-term projections of AIDS, details of which are presented here along with results obtained using the model to estimate and project AIDS cases for the USA, sub-Saharan Africa, and south/south-east Asia. WHO has also developed, based on the model described in this paper, a computer program (Epi Model), which will enable the user to easily change the values of any of the variables required by the WHO model. |
| Databáze: |
MEDLINE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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