Management of febrile children in the age of the conjugate pneumococcal vaccine: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

Autor: Lee GM; Division of Infectious Diseases, Children's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, 02115, USA. grace.lee@tch.harvard.edu, Fleisher GR, Harper MB
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Pediatrics [Pediatrics] 2001 Oct; Vol. 108 (4), pp. 835-44.
DOI: 10.1542/peds.108.4.835
Abstrakt: Objectives: The optimal practice management of highly febrile 3- to 36-month-old children without a focal source has been controversial. The recent release of a conjugate pneumococcal vaccine may reduce the rate of occult bacteremia and alter the utility of empiric testing and treatment. The objective of this study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of 6 different management strategies of febrile 3- to 36-month-old children at current and declining rates of occult pneumococcal bacteremia.
Methods: A cost-effectiveness (CE) analysis was performed to compare the strategies of "no work-up," "clinical judgment," "blood culture," "blood culture + treatment," "complete blood count (CBC) + selective blood culture and treatment," and "CBC and blood culture + selective treatment." A hypothetical cohort of 100 000 children who were 3 to 36 months of age and had a fever of >/=39 degrees C and no source of infection was modeled for each strategy. Our main outcome measures were cases of meningitis prevented, life-years saved compared with "no work-up," total cost (1999 dollars), and incremental CE ratios.
Results: When compared with "no work-up," the strategy of "CBC + selective blood culture and treatment" using a white blood cell (WBC) cutoff of 15 x 10(9)/L prevents 48 cases of meningitis, saves 86 life-years per 100 000 patients, and is less costly at the current rate of bacteremia (1.5%). Using the strategy of "CBC + selective blood culture and treatment" with a lower WBC cutoff of 10 x 10(9)/L costs an additional $72 300 per life-year saved. If the rate of bacteremia declines to 0.5%, then the incremental CE ratio of "clinical judgment" compared with "no work-up" is $38 000 per life-year saved; however, strategies that include empiric testing or treatment result in CE ratios greater than $300 000 per life-year saved.
Conclusions: "CBC + selective blood culture and treatment" using a WBC cutoff of 15 x 10(9)/L is cost-effective at the current rate of pneumococcal bacteremia. If the rate of occult bacteremia falls below 0.5% with widespread use of the conjugate pneumococcal vaccine, then strategies that use empiric testing and treatment should be eliminated.
Databáze: MEDLINE