Changes in hail hazard across Australia: 1979–2021

Autor: Timothy H. Raupach, Joshua S. Soderholm, Robert A. Warren, Steven C. Sherwood
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Vol 6, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2023)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2397-3722
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-023-00454-8
Popis: Abstract Hail damage is a leading cause of insured losses in Australia, but changes in this hazard have not been robustly quantified. Here, we provide a continental-scale analysis of changes in hail hazard in Australia. A hail proxy applied to reanalysis data shows that from 1979–2021 annual hail-prone days decreased over much of Australia but increased in some heavily populated areas. For example, the annual number of hail-prone days increased by ~40% around Sydney and Perth, the largest cities on Australia’s east and west coasts, respectively. Changes in atmospheric instability have driven the trends. Radar observations, while covering shorter time spans and a more limited area than the reanalysis, corroborate the broad pattern of results. This study shows consistent hail-frequency trends in radar indicators and atmospheric environments and demonstrates substantial increases in hail frequency in major Australian cities where hail impacts are most significant.
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