Rich and complex dynamics of a time-switched differential equation model for wild mosquito population suppression with Ricker-type density-dependent survival probability

Autor: Zhongcai Zhu, Xue He
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: AIMS Mathematics, Vol 8, Iss 12, Pp 28670-28689 (2023)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2473-6988
DOI: 10.3934/math.20231467?viewType=HTML
Popis: Dengue presents over 390 million cases worldwide yearly. Releasing Wolbachia-infected male mosquitoes to suppress wild mosquitoes via cytoplasmic incompatibility has proven to be a promising method for combating the disease. As cytoplasmic incompatibility causes early developmental arrest of the embryo during the larval stage, we introduce the Ricker-type survival probability to assess the resulting effects. For periodic and impulsive release strategies, our model switches between two ordinary differential equations. Owing to a Poincaré map and rigorous dynamical analyses, we give thresholds $ T^*, c^* $ and $ c^{**} (>c^*) $ for the release period $ T $ and the release amount $ c $. Then, we assume $ c > c^* $ and prove that our model admits a globally asymptotically stable periodic solution, provided $ T > T^* $, and it admits at most two periodic solutions when $ T < T^* $. Moreover, for the latter case, we assert that the origin is globally asymptotically stable if $ c\ge c^{**} $, and there exist two positive numbers such that whenever there is a periodic solution, it must initiate in an interval composed of the aforementioned two numbers, once $ c^* < c < c^{**} $. We also offer numerical examples to support the results. Finally, a brief discussion is given to evoke deeper insights into the Ricker-type model and to present our next research directions.
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