How High the Hedge: Relationships between Prices and Yields in the Federal Crop Insurance Program

Autor: A. Ford Ramsey, Barry K. Goodwin, Sujit K. Ghosh
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Vol 44, Iss 2, Pp 227-245 (2019)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1068-5502
2327-8285
DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.287967
Popis: The theory of the natural hedge states that agricultural yields and prices are inversely related. Actuarial rules for U.S. crop revenue insurance assume that dependence between yield and price is constant across all counties within a state and that dependence can be adequately described by the Gaussian copula. We use nonlinear measures of association and a selection of bivariate copulas to empirically characterize spatially-varying dependence between prices and yields and examine premium rate sensitivity for all corn producing counties in the United States. A simulation analysis across copula types and parameter values exposes hypothetical impacts of actuarial changes.
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