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Abstract Background In recent years, the utilization of autogenous vascularized iliac crest flap for repairing jaw defects has seen a significant rise. However, the visual monitoring of iliac bone flaps present challenges, frequently leading to delayed detection of flap loss. Consequently, there’s a urgent need to develop effective indicators for monitoring postoperative complications in iliac crest flaps. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 160 patients who underwent vascularized iliac crest flap transplantation for jawbone reconstruction from January 2020 to December 2022. We investigated the changes in D-dimer levels among patients with or without postoperative complications. Additionally, multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to explore potential individual risk factors, including surgical duration, age, pathology type, absolute and relative D-dimer levels, and gender, culminating in the development of a nomogram. Results On the first day following surgery, patients who experienced thrombosis exhibited a substantial increase in plasma D-dimer levels, reaching 3.75 mg/L, 13.84 times higher than the baseline. This difference was statistically significant (P |